ICEQC-R-2006-09 — Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones cover

تقرير بحث موضوعي

ICEQC-R-2006-09 — Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones

A global quality-improvement study of evidence, priorities, staged results, resources, participation and accountable review

تاريخ النشر
فئة البحث
أساليب تحسين الجودة
التقرير النموذج الأصلي
دراسة تحسين الجودة
النطاق الجغرافي
Global
تاريخ انتهاء صلاحية الأدلة
الجهة المسؤولة
مديرية البحوث والسياسات في ICEQC
ICEQC-R-2006-09 — Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones cover

Publication record

This is the controlled English edition. Evidence and institutional status are stated as at the evidence cut-off date.

Executive summary

A school development plan is reliable when it provides a credible account of the condition to be improved, the learner population affected, the result sought, the actions and resources required, the intermediate evidence expected and the decisions that will follow. It is unreliable when ambition is detached from a baseline, activities are treated as outcomes, milestones describe meetings rather than changed practice, or reported progress cannot be reproduced.

The central method proposed in this report is a controlled connection between baseline and milestone. The baseline is not a decorative opening statistic. It is the dated description of the condition against which later change will be judged. A milestone is not simply a point in the calendar. It is an observable intermediate condition showing that implementation and educational practice are moving toward the stated result.

This method responds to a persistent planning problem. Schools frequently prepare lists of training, purchases, committees, repairs and events. These actions may be necessary, but their completion does not establish improved attendance, teaching, inclusion, safety or learning. Conversely, a plan that names only a final examination target provides no early evidence that teaching and participation are changing. Reliable planning needs both implementation and result evidence.

The policy context is a broad commitment to access, equity and quality. The Dakar Framework calls for accountable education systems and measurable progress. Contemporary global monitoring shows that education quality depends on learner characteristics, enabling inputs, teaching and learning and outcomes, and that participation, literacy, language, teacher supply and inequality remain central concerns. The right-to-education framework requires schools and systems to attend to availability, accessibility, acceptability and adaptability rather than one performance average.

The school plan should therefore begin with a public problem, not an activity or donor category. The problem statement identifies who is affected, which educational event or condition is involved, its extent, distribution, duration and consequence, and the evidence limitations. A baseline then combines relevant quantitative and qualitative evidence: enrolment and attendance, learner work, assessment, teaching observation, staff and resource data, safety and participation, family and learner evidence and the experience of groups hidden by school averages.

Baseline integrity depends on definition and provenance. The school should state the population, reference period, measure, source, coverage, missing data, verification and known error. A percentage without numerator and denominator, an average without distribution or a survey result without response information cannot carry the full weight of a development priority. Historical records may be corrected, but the reconstructed nature of a baseline should remain visible.

The result chain distinguishes input, activity, output, changed practice, intermediate learner result and longer-term outcome. Resources and training can enable change; they are not the change. A completed teacher workshop is an output. Consistent use of a new assessment method is changed practice. More timely feedback and improved learner understanding are results. The chain should remain short enough for staff and communities to use and specific enough for responsibility to be tested.

Milestones should reveal progress before the final outcome is available. A sound milestone has a defined condition, population, date, evidence source, responsible owner and decision rule. It can concern readiness, reach, quality of implementation or an intermediate educational result. It should not reward superficial compliance, exclusion of lower-performing learners or alteration of data definitions.

Targets and milestones require realism. Prior trend, current capacity, resources, school calendar, uncertainty and unequal starting points should inform the level and timing. A target that can be achieved only by changing the cohort, narrowing the curriculum or suppressing absence is not ambitious quality improvement. A target that requires no change is not a meaningful public commitment.

Participation strengthens evidence and implementation when learners, teachers, families, communities and relevant authorities contribute to diagnosis, option design and review. School-based decision-making can improve responsiveness where authority, capability, information and accountability are aligned. Participation does not transfer the State’s education responsibility to voluntary committees or make majority preference a substitute for rights and professional judgement.

The plan should state resources, dependencies and authority. Schools should not be held solely responsible for teacher allocation, buildings, curriculum or financing decisions controlled elsewhere. Each system dependency requires an accepted owner, date and escalation route. Equally, a reference to “lack of resources” should not obscure school-level actions that are feasible within existing authority.

Monitoring is a management and accountability function. It compares actual conditions with milestones, tests data quality, records explanations and prompts a decision: continue, correct, intensify, redesign or stop. Evaluation addresses deeper questions about relevance, effectiveness, equity and cause. Neither function should be reduced to annual completion of a reporting form.

The report concludes that a reliable school development plan is a public evidence agreement. It states what is known, what will change, how progress will become visible, who must act and how the plan will be corrected when evidence contradicts its assumptions. Its authority lies in disciplined use, not in length or presentational polish.

Key findings

  • A development plan should begin with a learner- and public-interest problem, not a list of activities, a funding category or an inspection phrase.
  • Every baseline requires a population, definition, period, source, coverage, missingness, verification and limitation. Historical reconstruction should be labelled.
  • School averages can conceal unequal access, participation and learning. Baselines and milestones should be disaggregated where lawful, meaningful and statistically supportable.
  • Inputs, activities, outputs, changed practice, learner results and longer-term outcomes are distinct. A plan should not report one as proof of another.
  • A milestone is an observable intermediate condition with a date, evidence and decision rule. A scheduled event is not a milestone merely because it appears on a calendar.
  • Targets should reflect prior trend, baseline uncertainty, capacity, resources and school calendar. They should not encourage exclusion, data manipulation or curriculum narrowing.
  • Qualitative evidence is necessary where the plan concerns teaching, inclusion, safety, relationships or learner experience. It should use a stated collection and analysis method.
  • Participation improves diagnosis and legitimacy but does not replace public and professional responsibility. Children’s views should be sought accessibly and used with protection.
  • The plan should distinguish actions within school authority from dependencies controlled by public authorities or other bodies. Every dependency needs an accepted owner and escalation route.
  • Resource schedules should connect each action to people, time, materials, facilities, finance and opportunity cost. Unfunded activities should not be presented as committed delivery.
  • Monitoring should result in a management decision. Collection without review, explanation and correction creates reporting burden rather than improvement.
  • Evaluation should test relevance, effectiveness, equity and contribution, including adverse effects and alternative explanations. It should not be added only after a target is missed.
  • Data-quality controls should detect changed definitions, incomplete cohorts, duplicate records, late entry, missing learners and selective assessment participation.
  • A plan should preserve unsuccessful or superseded versions and state corrections. Silent rewriting prevents public learning and obscures accountability.
  • School development is credible when verified practice and learner participation change, not when the document receives formal approval.

Scope and method

The report addresses development planning in primary, secondary and other school-level institutions as at 1 October 2006. It is applicable to annual and multi-year plans and to plans required by authorities, school-based management arrangements, inspections or public funding. It does not prescribe one national plan template.

The evidence base comprises the Dakar Framework; the 2005 and 2006 Education for All monitoring reports; contemporary school-based management policy analysis; UNESCO inclusion and management guidance; results-based monitoring handbooks from the World Bank and UNDP; public-service accountability analysis; household and census education-data guidance; international teacher standards; child-rights and right-to-education instruments; and a contemporary UNESCO implementation scheme using strategies, resources and milestones.

The report uses these sources to interpret planning discipline and public responsibility. It does not attribute endorsement of the report to any source and does not treat a general development-monitoring method as evidence that a particular school action caused an outcome.

The term “school” includes the governing and professional body responsible for the institutional plan. “Baseline” means the dated starting condition under the selected measure and population. “Milestone” means an intermediate condition expected by a stated date. “Target” means a specified level of a result indicator expected by a stated time. “Evaluation” means a systematic assessment beyond routine tracking.

Part I

The plan as a public evidence agreement

1

Purpose

The plan should organise improvement in the educational conditions and results for which the school and system are responsible. It should enable staff, learners, families, authorities and governing bodies to understand the problem, action and progress.

Its value is practical and public. A plan that cannot guide a decision is not made reliable by formal language.

2

Development and maintenance

Development implies a change from an identified condition. Maintenance protects a condition already at risk. Both can be legitimate plan purposes, but they should be named accurately.

Preventing deterioration in teacher continuity or safety may be a substantial result even where the numerical indicator remains stable.

3

School and system responsibility

Schools control some teaching, timetable, support, communication and resource choices. Authorities may control staff allocation, curriculum, examinations, capital works and finance.

The plan should assign responsibility according to actual authority and should not promise an external decision as if the school had made it.

4

Rights and quality

Availability, accessibility, acceptability and adaptability provide a public framework for examining priorities. Quality also concerns learner characteristics, enabling inputs, teaching and learning and outcomes.[REF-13] [REF-02]

A plan confined to examination results can omit access, participation, safety and curriculum.

5

Equity

The plan should ask who benefits, who is absent and whose result is hidden in the average. Poverty, location, sex, disability, language, work and household circumstances may interact with school barriers.

Group evidence should be lawful, respectful and supportable; absence of precise data should lead to better inquiry rather than a conclusion of equality.

6

Improvement theory

Every priority contains an explanation of how planned action is expected to change practice and learner experience. The explanation should identify assumptions and conditions outside school control.

Without this theory, the plan can list attractive activities that have no credible connection to the problem.

7

Accountability

Accountability connects voice, public authority, organisational management and frontline service. School planning should therefore show how learner and community evidence reaches decision-makers and how authorised resources reach teaching and support.[REF-08]

Accountability is not only publication of results; it includes response and remedy.

8

Participation

Teachers, learners, families and communities hold different evidence and interests. Participation should be designed around diagnosis, choice, implementation and review rather than one endorsement meeting.

The governing body retains responsibility for the final plan and protection of minority rights.

9

Feasibility

The plan should match authority, staff, time, resources and institutional capacity. Ambition can exceed current capacity only where a credible capacity-building and system-support route is included.

Unfunded action should be identified as a proposal or dependency, not a confirmed commitment.

10

Selectivity

A school cannot improve every condition at once. Priorities should follow educational consequence, equity, urgency, evidence and feasibility.

Selectivity does not permit omission of an immediate safety or rights concern because it falls outside a strategic theme.

11

Time horizon

Multi-year outcomes require annual and term milestones. Short plans should not claim long-term effects before they can be observed.

The horizon should account for enrolment cycles, examinations, teacher appointment, procurement and capital time.

12

Plan hierarchy

The school plan should align with lawful national and local requirements while retaining local diagnosis. A local action should not contradict curriculum, rights or public finance rules.

Higher-level targets should be translated into the school population and context rather than copied without analysis.

13

Plan boundary

Routine operations, mandatory compliance and development actions may appear together but should be distinguished. Paying salaries or opening the school is not an improvement activity merely because it is essential.

The plan should show which baseline condition will change through additional or revised action.

14

Public agreement table

Table 1. Elements of a reliable school development agreement
ElementRequired statementPublic questionFailure avoided
problempopulation, condition, extent and consequencewhat requires change and for whomactivity selected before diagnosis
baselinedefinition, value or described condition, period and sourcewhere is the school startingundated or unverifiable starting point
resultchanged practice or learner conditionwhat will be differentoutput presented as outcome
milestoneintermediate condition, date and evidencehow will progress become visible earlycalendar event treated as progress
actionspecific work and responsible ownerwhat will produce the changebroad intention without delivery
resourcepeople, time, materials, finance and dependencyis action feasible and authorisedunfunded promise
monitoringmethod, frequency, reviewer and decision rulehow will evidence change managementcollection without use
participationlearner, staff, family and community roleswhose evidence and interests are representedceremonial consultation
correctiontrigger, authority and version recordwhat happens when assumptions failsilent rewriting or continued ineffective action

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

15

Plan conclusion

A school development plan is an evidence agreement, not a statement of aspiration alone. It becomes reliable when every commitment is connected to a starting condition, responsible authority, intermediate proof and decision.

Part II

Defining the improvement problem

16

Begin with the learner pathway

The school should examine entry, attendance, participation, teaching, progression, completion and learning. A weakness at one stage can create the result observed later.

Starting with the final score can lead to remediation that ignores absence, language or curriculum access.

17

Problem population

The problem statement identifies learners, classes, subjects, teachers, locations or processes affected. It distinguishes the target population from the population actually observed.

Learners outside school records may require household, community or authority evidence.[REF-10]

18

Education event

The event should be specific: transition into grade, daily attendance, reading instruction, feedback on writing, laboratory participation, safe arrival or completion of a level.

Broad terms such as “standards” or “performance” should be translated into observable education.

19

Extent

Extent may be expressed through count, rate, distribution, frequency, duration and severity. A small number can remain high priority where harm is serious.

Numerical precision should not exceed the source.

20

Distribution

The school examines variation by grade, subject, time, teacher, location and relevant learner groups. Distribution can reveal that an average problem is concentrated or that apparent success excludes a group.

Small groups require confidentiality and precision safeguards.

21

Duration and trend

The statement distinguishes one unusual period from a persistent or worsening condition. Comparable historical definitions and cohorts are required.

Where prior records are unreliable, the plan should state that trend cannot yet be established.

22

Consequence

The school should state the educational and rights consequence: lost instruction, weak learning, unsafe participation, delayed progression, exclusion or reduced trust.

Urgency follows consequence as well as prevalence.

23

Immediate cause and root condition

Immediate causes may include absence, unavailable material or timetable conflict. Root conditions may concern finance, leadership, teacher preparation, language policy, workload or access.

The plan should avoid calling a learner characteristic the root cause when institutional barriers remain unexplored.

24

Evidence versus explanation

A pattern can be observed before its cause is established. The problem statement should separate measured condition, plausible explanation and tested explanation.

Urgent protective action can proceed while deeper evaluation continues.

25

Learner evidence

Learners can identify unclear teaching, inaccessible material, fear, safety, workload and support. Their participation should be accessible and protected.[REF-12]

One account may establish an individual concern; broader claims require an appropriate method.

26

Teacher evidence

Teachers contribute knowledge of curriculum, class conditions, learner work, assessment and implementation constraints. Their evidence should not be limited to self-rating.

Professional participation is consistent with the responsibilities and status recognised in the international teacher framework.[REF-11]

27

Family and community evidence

Families can explain attendance, cost, communication, transport and trust. Community evidence can reveal children and barriers absent from school records.

Consultation should include families who withdrew or did not enrol where feasible.

28

Administrative evidence

Enrolment, attendance, timetable, staff, finance, incidents, progression and assessment provide regular evidence. Definitions and completeness should be verified before use.

An administrative count reflects what the system records, not necessarily every child affected.

29

Observation and work

Classroom observation and learner work show practice and curriculum opportunity. Sampling should cover ordinary days, groups and teachers rather than demonstration lessons alone.

The method and limits should be recorded.

30

Problem statement

Table 2. School improvement problem record
QuestionRequired evidenceAcceptable statementWeak substitute
whotarget and observed populationsdefined learner group and coverage“all pupils” without denominator
whateducation event or conditionspecific participation or teaching issuegeneric low quality
how muchcount, rate, distribution or qualitative extentvalue with unit and limitationisolated percentage
whenperiod, frequency and trenddated condition and comparable history“recently” without reference
whereclass, grade, subject or locationsupported concentration or system patternassumption from one room
consequencelearning, safety, access or progressionmaterial public-interest effectadministrative inconvenience alone
explanationevidence for proposed mechanismhypothesis or supported cause identifiedcorrelation presented as cause
missing evidenceunrepresented population or unknown conditionexplicit gap and inquirysilence treated as no problem

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

31

Problem priority

The problem should enter the plan when consequence, equity, persistence, legal duty, strategic relevance and feasible influence justify action. The evidence supporting priority should be visible.

Political visibility or ease of measurement should not be the sole selection rule.

32

Problem conclusion

A well-defined problem gives the plan a population, event, scale, consequence and evidence boundary. It prevents a preferred activity from becoming the diagnosis and establishes what the baseline must measure.

Part III

Constructing a defensible baseline

33

Baseline function

The baseline establishes the starting condition for the result and permits later comparison. It also tests whether the problem statement is supported.

It should be completed before major implementation wherever possible.

34

Reference date

Every baseline has a date or period appropriate to the measure. Attendance may need a term; teaching practice may require several observations; examination results require a defined cohort.

Combining periods should not conceal change within them.

35

Population definition

The baseline states age, grade, enrolment status, subject, site and inclusion rules. The denominator should match the result sought.

Excluding late entrants, repeaters or absent learners requires a stated reason and effect.

36

Indicator definition

The indicator identifies numerator, denominator, event, unit and orientation. A “reading rate” is insufficient without the assessment, level and population.

Definitions should remain stable across milestones or a break should be shown.

37

Data source

Source may be register, survey, assessment, observation, interview, financial record or facility audit. The baseline should name the instrument and responsible collector.

No source should be assumed accurate because it is administrative.

38

Coverage

Coverage records how much of the target population or activity was observed. Missing classes, absent learners, unreturned questionnaires and inaccessible families should be visible.

The school should assess likely direction of bias.

39

Verification

Totals and key records should be reconciled with source documents and another evidence route where feasible. Assessment summaries should match learner-level results; attendance totals should match registers and school days.

Differences are resolved or retained as uncertainty.

40

Quantitative baseline

A quantitative baseline reports count and rate where both matter, distribution and uncertainty appropriate to the source. Small samples should not support precise targets.

Rounding should be consistent and unrounded values retained for calculation.

41

Qualitative baseline

A qualitative baseline describes practice or experience through a stated method, sample, questions, analysis and contrary evidence. It should not be a collection of selected quotations.

Structured observation or thematic analysis can provide a reproducible starting condition.

42

Mixed evidence

Quantitative evidence can show extent and distribution; qualitative evidence can show process and meaning. They should be connected through the same problem and population.

Disagreement is investigated rather than averaged away.

43

Disaggregation

The baseline should examine relevant differences by sex, poverty, residence, disability, language or other lawful categories where data support it. Inclusion guidance directs plans to identify barriers in systems and schools.[REF-06]

Small cells and missing identity data require protection and caution.

44

School average

An average can improve while a lower-performing or less-present group falls further behind. The baseline should retain distribution and counts.

Ranking classes or groups should not replace diagnosis.

45

Historical comparison

Prior periods require common definitions, population, calendar and measurement. A change in test or grade policy should be shown as a break.

Historical values reconstructed from incomplete files should be labelled and accompanied by sensitivity.

46

Baseline after implementation

Where action began before data were collected, the school should not present the later value as a pre-action baseline. It can use a dated starting measure and state that some implementation had occurred.

Reconstruction may support evaluation but remains distinct from direct measurement.

47

Missing data

Missingness should be counted and examined by class and learner group. Unknown attendance, assessment or background should not be coded automatically as failure or success.

Sensitivity may show whether the conclusion depends on missing cases.

48

Baseline audit

Table 3. Baseline integrity record
Baseline fieldRequired contentVerificationRelease qualification
result conceptexact condition expected to changealignment with problem and resultdo not substitute proxy silently
populationtarget, observed and excluded personsenrolment and coverage reconciliationstate who is not represented
perioddate, term or cohortcalendar and source dateavoid mixing non-comparable periods
measurenumerator, denominator, unit and directionindependent recomputationshow count with rate where material
sourceinstrument, collector and custodysource-record sampleprovider declaration is not automatic verification
missingnesscount, reason and distributioncompare known and unknown casesqualify likely bias
disaggregationlawful groups and cell supportsample and disclosure reviewsuppress identity without erasing group
qualitative methodsample, question, coding and contrary evidencereviewer reproductionquotation alone is not prevalence
historical statusdirect, corrected or reconstructed valueversion and derivation recordlabel breaks and reconstruction

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

49

Baseline ownership

The person responsible for each baseline certifies definition, source and limitations. Teachers and data staff should review educational meaning and calculation together.

Certification does not prevent correction; it establishes accountability.

50

Baseline conclusion

A defensible baseline is precise about what was observed and modest about what remains unknown. It gives later milestones a stable comparison and prevents the plan from redefining success after implementation begins.

Part IV

From baseline to result chain

51

Result statement

The result describes a changed educational condition for a defined population. It should use active, observable language and a time horizon.

“Improve literacy” should become a specific change in teaching, participation or demonstrated reading under a stated measure.

52

Inputs

Inputs include staff time, finance, materials, facilities, information and authority. Their availability is a condition for action.

An allocated resource is not evidence that it reached the classroom.

53

Activities

Activities include training, coaching, timetable revision, material production, outreach, assessment and facility work. They describe what actors do.

The plan should state participants, quality and timing rather than a broad verb such as “strengthen”.

54

Outputs

Outputs are direct deliverables: teachers trained, materials supplied, visits completed, rooms repaired or support plans prepared. They show implementation reach.

They are necessary evidence but not proof of changed teaching or learning.

55

Changed practice

Changed practice concerns what teachers, leaders, learners or services do differently and consistently. It can be observed in lessons, feedback, attendance follow-up, support and management decisions.

One demonstration does not establish routine use.

56

Intermediate learner result

Intermediate results may include improved attendance, engagement, task completion, feedback use, reading fluency or transition. They should be close enough to the action to support management.

They do not necessarily establish the longer-term outcome or cause.

57

Longer-term outcome

Outcomes can include learning, completion, equitable participation and sustained safety. They may be influenced by factors beyond the plan.

The school should state its expected contribution rather than claim sole causation without evaluation.

58

Assumptions

Assumptions connect stages: trained teachers apply the method; materials arrive and are used; attendance permits exposure; authority supplies staff; families receive information.

Critical assumptions should be monitored.

59

External conditions

Conflict, disease, migration, price changes, weather, public policy and teacher allocation can affect results. The plan should identify likely conditions and contingency without treating every outcome as outside school influence.

60

Negative pathway

Actions can create adverse effects: test preparation can narrow curriculum; attendance incentives can hide absence; public ranking can stigmatise; added reporting can reduce teaching time.

The result chain should include foreseeable risk and monitoring.

61

Equity pathway

The plan should state how the action reaches learners most affected by the baseline problem. Universal action can require additional support for unequal starting conditions.

Reach and result should be disaggregated where supportable.

62

Result-chain table

Table 4. Result-chain distinctions
StagePlanning questionExample evidenceInvalid inference
inputwhat resource and authority are availablebudget, staff allocation and material orderallocation treated as delivery
activitywhat work is performed and for whomattendance, schedule and quality recordmeeting treated as changed practice
outputwhat direct product reaches the schoolusable materials or completed support planproduct treated as learning
changed practicewhat routine behaviour differsobservation, work and service recordsone demonstration treated as routine
intermediate resultwhat early learner or service condition changesattendance, engagement or timely feedbackearly change treated as final outcome
outcomewhat sustained education result is soughtlearning, completion or equitable participationassociation treated as sole programme effect
adverse effectwhat harm may accompany actionnarrowed curriculum, exclusion or workloadfavourable average treated as complete success

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

63

Short chain

A result chain should include only stages necessary to manage the priority. Excessive boxes and arrows can obscure responsibility and evidence.

Each stage should have an owner and a credible link to the next.

64

Multiple actions

A serious problem may require teacher development, materials, attendance support and leadership change together. The plan should show interaction without claiming that every action independently causes the outcome.

Sequencing and dependency should be visible.

65

Alternative explanation

The school should record other reasons the result may change, such as cohort composition, examination difficulty or external support. Monitoring can then seek corroborating practice evidence.

This protects against premature attribution.

66

Result-chain conclusion

The result chain makes the plan’s reasoning testable. It prevents resources and activities from being reported as educational success and gives milestones a position between implementation and the final outcome.

Part V

Indicator selection and definition

67

Indicator purpose

An indicator summarises evidence for a decision. It should be selected because it represents a result or assumption that managers and communities need to understand, not because data happen to be easy to collect.

Every indicator should have a stated user and decision.

68

Direct and proxy indicators

A direct indicator measures the condition itself; a proxy measures a related condition. Teacher attendance is not a direct measure of teaching quality, and book delivery is not a direct measure of reading.

Where a proxy is necessary, the plan should explain the relationship and retain complementary evidence.

69

Leading and lagging indicators

Leading indicators can reveal whether implementation and practice are changing before final outcomes appear. Lagging indicators record outcomes after the change has had time to operate.

A reliable plan uses both without treating early activity as final proof.

70

Input indicators

Input measures can show allocated or available teachers, time, materials and finance. They should distinguish allocation, delivery and usability.

An item stored centrally is not available to learners merely because it was purchased.

71

Process indicators

Process indicators describe the quality and consistency of teaching, assessment, support, leadership or participation. They often require observation and record sampling.

Checklists should include educational meaning and should not reward visible form without substance.

72

Output indicators

Output indicators record direct products and reach. Counts should identify intended and actual participants and quality where material.

Completion of training should distinguish attendance from demonstrated competence.

73

Outcome indicators

Outcome indicators concern changed learner or school conditions. They should align with the problem and result chain and use a population affected by the action.

An examination average may be unsuitable where the plan concerns attendance in an earlier grade.

74

Equity indicators

Equity may be examined through group levels, gaps, distribution and participation. A parity ratio alone can conceal low outcomes for both groups.

The school should retain counts, uncertainty and missing groups.

75

Quality indicators

Quality is multidimensional. The global quality framework connects learner characteristics, enabling inputs, teaching and learning and outcomes.[REF-02]

No single measure should be represented as the complete quality of a school.

76

Rights indicators

Availability, accessibility, acceptability and adaptability can guide indicators for places, attendance, cost, safety, curriculum, teaching and learner support.[REF-13]

Rights should not be reduced to a score that hides serious individual exclusion.

77

Participation indicators

Enrolment, attendance, active participation, assessment entry, progression and completion should remain distinct. The plan should select the event relevant to its problem.

Administrative enrolment can remain high while regular participation falls.

78

Learning indicators

Learning evidence may include direct assessment, learner work, teacher judgement under common criteria and progression. Instruments should match curriculum and be stable enough for comparison.

High-stakes results require cohort and candidate-accounting safeguards.

79

Teaching indicators

Teaching indicators can concern instructional time, curriculum coverage, explanation, learner participation, feedback, assessment use and support. Observation requires trained reviewers and sampling.

One visit should not become a precise teacher ranking.

80

Safety and climate indicators

Incident, absence and complaint data can contribute but are affected by reporting access. Learner and staff evidence, observation and response quality are also needed.

Zero complaints are not proof of a safe or trusted process.

81

Resource indicators

The plan should measure whether resources are functional, accessible and used. A pupil-book ratio may hide damaged books, wrong language or locked storage.

Direct sampling can verify effective availability.

82

Teacher indicators

Staffing measures should distinguish headcount, full-time equivalent, assignment, vacancy, absence, turnover and preparation. The international teacher framework connects conditions and professional development to effective teaching.[REF-11]

Qualification count alone should not carry the full teacher-quality claim.

83

Indicator sensitivity

An indicator should change when the intended condition changes and remain reasonably stable when it does not. Very rare events or small cohorts may require qualitative or multi-period evidence.

Excessive volatility can produce false management signals.

84

Feasibility

Collection cost, skill, time, privacy and frequency should be proportionate to use. Every indicator creates continuing work.

The results-based monitoring handbook cautions that each indicator requires data collection, analysis and reporting behind it.[REF-07]

85

Ownership

The indicator register names collector, verifier, analyst, reviewer and decision-maker. One person may perform several roles in a small school, but checks should remain possible.

Ownership includes responsibility for correction.

86

Indicator definition sheet

Table 5. Indicator definition and use register
FieldRequired definitionReliability question
resultcondition represented in the plandoes the indicator match the priority
typeinput, activity, output, practice, intermediate or outcomeis stage presented accurately
populationeligible, observed and excluded unitswho can appear in the value
formulanumerator, denominator, unit and directioncan the result be recomputed
sourceinstrument, record and custodycan source evidence be verified
frequencycollection and review datesis timing useful for a decision
disaggregationrelevant groups and supportable cellscan unequal effect be seen safely
limitationcoverage, error, missingness and proxy statuswhat conclusion is not supported
ownercollection, verification and decision roleswho must act on the evidence
decision rulecontinue, correct, investigate or escalate thresholdwhat changes when the indicator changes

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

87

Indicator set

Each priority should use the smallest set that can test implementation, practice, learner result, equity and adverse effect. A large dashboard can obscure rather than improve judgement.

Indicators with no plausible decision should be removed.

88

Indicator conclusion

An indicator is reliable only within its definition, population and source. The plan should use a balanced set to support decisions and should not turn measurable fragments into a claim about the whole school.

Part VI

Designing milestones

89

Milestone function

A milestone is a dated intermediate condition expected on the route from baseline to result. It provides early evidence that action is ready, reaching the intended population or changing practice.

It should be meaningful enough to trigger a decision.

90

Milestone versus deadline

A deadline states when an activity should be complete. A milestone states what observable condition should exist by that date.

“Training held by March” is a deadline; “teachers use the agreed feedback method in sampled work by March” is a practice milestone.

91

Readiness milestone

Readiness can concern staff, materials, schedule, rooms, data or authority in place before implementation. It is valuable where delay would waste a term.

Readiness should be verified in practice rather than through an order or policy alone.

92

Reach milestone

Reach shows whether the intended learners, teachers or classes receive the intervention. It should retain denominator and distribution.

High overall reach can conceal absence of the priority group.

93

Quality-of-implementation milestone

This milestone tests fidelity and adequacy: materials are used correctly, coaching addresses observed practice, attendance follow-up occurs within the agreed time or facilities are usable.

Completion counts should be accompanied by quality evidence.

94

Practice milestone

Practice milestones describe sustained behaviour in teaching, assessment, leadership or support. They require more than one observation or record.

The sampling period and criterion should be defined.

95

Intermediate learner milestone

Early learner results can concern attendance, engagement, completed tasks, use of feedback, reading component skills or successful transition.

They should precede and plausibly contribute to the final outcome without being presented as causal proof.

96

Equity milestone

An equity milestone can require reach or improvement among learners most affected by the baseline. It should show group levels as well as gaps.

A narrowing gap caused by decline in the higher group is not the intended success unless explicitly justified.

97

Resource milestone

Resource milestones distinguish allocation, delivery, distribution and use. The relevant condition is that the necessary resource can support the action.

Payment or purchase alone may be an administrative deadline rather than educational readiness.

98

Participation milestone

Participation can concern functioning learner councils, family input to a decision, teacher planning teams or community verification. It should identify whose contribution affected which decision.

Meeting attendance alone does not establish meaningful participation.

99

Milestone sequence

Milestones should follow dependencies: evidence and materials before training; competence before classroom use; reach before outcome; review before scale.

Parallel actions should identify coordination points.

100

Milestone spacing

Dates should permit enough time for change while providing an early warning. One final annual milestone cannot guide correction; weekly reporting may create noise and burden.

The school calendar and data frequency should determine spacing.

101

Evidence source

Each milestone identifies source and verification before implementation. Evidence should be available close enough to the date for management action.

Self-report may be appropriate for some activity evidence but not as the sole proof of practice change.

102

Owner

The milestone owner has authority to coordinate action and present evidence. The reviewer has authority to accept, qualify or reject the claim.

One person should not mark their own unsupported activity as achieved without review.

103

Decision rule

The plan states what follows if a milestone is met, partly met, missed or contradicted. It may continue, intensify, correct, investigate, revise or stop an action.

A missed milestone should not remain a red box without a decision.

104

Tolerance

Some variation may be expected. Tolerance should reflect measurement error and educational significance, not be invented after the result is known.

Serious safety or rights milestones may allow no routine tolerance.

105

Milestone table

Table 6. Milestone design record
Milestone typeObservable conditionEvidenceDecision if missed
readinessrequired staff, material, time and authority usabledirect check and delivery recordcorrect before exposing learners
reachintended population receives the actioneligible and participant countsremove access barrier and revise delivery
implementation qualityaction delivered to defined standardobservation, work and service recordcoach, redesign or restrict scale
changed practiceroutine behaviour differs from baselinerepeated sample across relevant settingsexamine capability, workload and leadership
intermediate resultearly learner or service condition changesstable indicator and qualitative evidencetest assumptions and alternative explanation
equitypriority group receives comparable reach and resultgroup levels, counts and safe disaggregationtarget support and inspect selection
adverse effectforeseeable harm remains within limitcurriculum, workload, exclusion or safety evidencepause or modify action

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

106

Milestone integrity

A milestone should not be redefined after the date to create success. If evidence shows the original measure was invalid, the correction and break remain visible.

Partial achievement should be reported accurately.

107

Milestone burden

The number of milestones should be proportionate to priority and capacity. Too many can direct staff toward reporting rather than teaching.

Existing records should be used where they measure the condition adequately.

108

Milestone conclusion

Milestones make the result chain governable. They should expose readiness, reach and changed practice early enough for correction and should never be reduced to ceremonial completion of scheduled activities.

Part VII

Setting targets without distorting education

109

Target function

A target states the expected level of a result indicator by a date. It communicates ambition and supports review, but it is not an estimate of what will certainly occur.

The target should be accompanied by assumptions and uncertainty.

110

Baseline relation

The target uses the same definition, population and source as the baseline or states the change. It should identify the absolute change and, where useful, relative change.

A target cannot repair an invalid baseline.

111

Prior trend

Comparable historical evidence shows ordinary variation and pace. A trend should not be extrapolated mechanically where policy, cohort or measure changes.

No trend is preferable to a false trend.

112

Educational significance

The target should represent a change that matters to learners, not only a statistically or administratively visible difference. Small improvement may be important for severe barriers; large change may be required where the condition is far below a minimum.

The plan should state the rationale.

113

Feasibility

Staff, time, materials, authority and school calendar constrain what can be achieved. Feasibility analysis should not suppress ambition where system support can be secured.

Dependencies should be explicit and dated.

114

Uncertainty

Sampling error, missing data, cohort change, external conditions and implementation variation affect target interpretation. A range or threshold may be more honest than one exact value.

The plan should avoid false precision.

115

Minimum condition

Some targets concern compliance with a minimum: every learner receives an emergency plan or all required materials are available. The plan should not accept a lower percentage where the right or safety duty applies individually.

Implementation may be staged, but the unmet population remains visible.

116

Distribution

Targets should show group levels and counts where inequality is a priority. An overall target can be met through improvement among learners already best served.

Distributional targets should not encourage identity manipulation.

117

Cohort integrity

The target population should include entrants, leavers, repeaters, late arrivals and assessment non-participants according to stated rules. Selective removal can improve a result without improving education.

The full pathway should be monitored.

118

Curriculum breadth

High-stakes targets can narrow teaching to tested content. The plan should monitor curriculum coverage, learner engagement and non-target subjects.

Improved test performance is not complete success if broader learning deteriorates.

119

Data gaming

Risks include delayed enrolment, reclassification, hidden absence, changed thresholds, candidate exclusion and selective testing. Independent checks and stable definitions are required.

Incentives should reward accurate evidence and correction, not only favourable numbers.

120

Ceiling effects

Near-universal results leave limited numerical room and can hide the small group still excluded. Counts, individual follow-up and quality evidence become more important.

A target of 100 per cent should not produce suppression of uncertain cases.

121

Floor effects

Very low baselines may make percentage change appear large while absolute result remains inadequate. The plan should show levels and affected learners.

Immediate minimum service and longer-term outcome targets may be needed together.

122

Comparative targets

Another school’s result may provide context but should not be copied without population, resources, curriculum and data comparability. Ranking can divert attention from local barriers.

The school’s target should follow its baseline and public obligation.

123

Negotiated targets

Participation by teachers and communities can improve realism and ownership, but negotiation should not lower rights or allow powerful groups to exclude difficult learners.

The governing body should publish the evidence and rationale.

124

Target record

Table 7. Target reliability and distortion control
Target fieldRequired evidenceDistortion riskControl
baselinecompatible value, population and periodlow or altered starting pointindependent definition and source check
expected changeabsolute level and daterelative change exaggerates progresspublish both levels and change
rationaletrend, capacity, obligation and resourcesarbitrary number chosen for appearancedocumented assumptions and approval
distributiongroup levels and affected countsaverage met through selective improvementequity milestones and pathway data
cohortentry, exit and assessment participationexclusion of lower-performing learnersfull cohort reconciliation
curriculumtarget and non-target learningnarrowing to measured contentcoverage and learner-work review
uncertaintymissingness, measurement and external conditionfalse precisionrange, tolerance or qualified judgement
incentiveconsequence of meeting or missing targetmanipulation and concealmentaudit, balanced indicators and no punitive shortcut

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

125

Revision

Targets may be revised where the baseline was corrected, resources changed or external disruption made assumptions invalid. Revision should state original, evidence, new target and effect on accountability.

Unfavourable progress alone is not a sufficient reason to lower a target silently.

126

Target conclusion

A target supports improvement when it preserves the population, curriculum and integrity of evidence. It becomes harmful when the number is pursued independently of the educational condition it was meant to represent.

Part VIII

Actions, resources and operational responsibility

127

Action specification

Each action should state the work, intended participants, quality, timing, location and responsible owner. A verb such as “enhance” or “promote” should be replaced by an observable operation.

The action should connect directly to a result-chain assumption.

128

Sequence

Actions follow dependencies: diagnose before training, procure before use, prepare teachers before implementation and verify before scale. The plan should identify the critical path.

Parallel work requires coordination points.

129

Responsibility

The owner should have authority and capacity. Supporting and approving roles are named separately.

A committee without a responsible person can disperse accountability.

130

Teacher time

Planning, training, collaboration, observation, assessment and follow-up require time. The resource account should include release, substitution and workload.

Adding responsibilities without removing or resourcing other work can undermine implementation.

131

Leadership time

School leaders need time for observation, data review, staff support, community communication and system escalation. Administrative reporting should not consume the capacity needed for improvement.

The governing body should monitor this balance.

132

Materials

The plan states specification, quantity, language, accessibility, delivery, storage, distribution and use. Procurement should follow curriculum purpose.

Materials require teacher preparation and maintenance where relevant.

133

Facilities

Facility actions should address educational function, access, safety, capacity, maintenance and interim arrangements. Capital approval and completion dates may sit outside school authority.

The plan should identify the accepted public owner.

134

Finance

Costs should be estimated by action and period with source, approval status and contingency. Allocation, commitment, payment and delivery remain separate states.

The plan should not present an application for funds as secured finance.

135

Existing resources

Existing staff, rooms and materials may be reorganised. Opportunity cost and effect on other learners should be considered.

“No additional cost” should not conceal substantial unpaid or displaced work.

136

External support

Authority, community, donor or partner support should state exact contribution, conditions, date and responsibility. The school should retain its public purpose and data integrity.

An informal promise is a dependency, not a committed resource.

137

School-based authority

School-based management can improve responsiveness when authority, information, capability and accountability align. Devolution without resources or support can transfer responsibility without means.[REF-04]

The plan should state decisions the school can actually make.

138

System dependency

Teacher posts, curriculum, examinations, salaries, large capital work and specialist services may be controlled externally. The plan records request, receiving authority, decision date and escalation.

The school should provide interim action where possible.

139

Risk

Operational risks include staff departure, procurement delay, weak participation, data failure, overload, external disruption and unintended exclusion. Each material risk has prevention, contingency and owner.

Risk should be reviewed with milestones.

140

Action-resource table

Table 8. Action and resource commitment record
Action fieldRequired contentEvidence before startFailure response
operationexact work, population and qualityagreed method and scheduleclarify or redesign before expenditure
ownerresponsible person and authorityacceptance and roleescalate unowned dependency
teacher timeplanning, delivery and follow-up loadtimetable and coverreduce competing work or resource time
materialspecification, quantity and accessapproved order or available stockinterim material and procurement correction
facilitysite, function, safety and availabilityinspection and approvalrelocate or stage safely
financeamount, source, status and periodauthorised allocationidentify as proposal or revise action
system dependencyexternal decision and dateaccepted request and contactescalate and protect current learners
risktrigger, prevention and contingencyresponsible monitoractivate contingency and revise milestone

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

141

Work plan

The work plan should present sequence and responsibility without becoming the whole development plan. It should link each action to the result and milestone identifiers.

Completion dates are updated with reasons and version control.

142

Procurement integrity

Specification, competition or lawful selection, conflicts, receipt and use should be controlled. Low price should not replace educational suitability.

Related-party and donated goods require the same usability evidence.

143

Capacity development

Training should follow diagnosed competence and include practice, support and follow-up. Attendance is an output; changed professional practice is the result.

Peer learning and coaching can support sustained use.

144

Sustainability

The plan should identify recurrent cost, staff continuity, maintenance, institutional routine and transfer of knowledge. A pilot dependent on one external person is not yet sustainable.

Continuation should follow evidence, not habit.

145

Action conclusion

Actions become credible commitments when responsibility, time, resources and dependencies are explicit. Operational detail should serve the educational result and make early correction possible.

Part IX

Participation, Representation and Public Accountability

146

Participation as a condition of plan reliability

A school development plan is more reliable when the people affected by its priorities can contribute evidence, test assumptions and examine implementation. Participation is not an ornamental meeting held after the principal decisions have been made. It is a means of improving the accuracy of diagnosis, identifying effects that administrative records do not show and establishing whether proposed actions are practicable for learners, families and staff.

The form of participation should correspond to the decision. A discussion about attendance barriers requires learners and families who experience those barriers; a decision about instructional practice requires teachers and school leaders; a decision about accessibility requires persons who encounter the relevant physical, communication or procedural obstacles. Participation does not transfer the lawful responsibility of the governing authority, but it strengthens the evidence on which that responsibility is exercised.

147

Public purpose and legitimate interests

Planning should begin from the educational rights and public purposes served by the school. Interests in institutional reputation, administrative convenience or short-term examination performance cannot displace access, participation, learning, safety and equitable treatment.

Stakeholders may hold different and legitimate concerns. Teachers may identify workload and feasibility constraints; learners may identify unsafe routes or humiliating practices; families may identify cost and language barriers; authorities may identify statutory or resource limits. The planning process should record these interests accurately, distinguish evidence from preference and explain how competing considerations were resolved.

148

Mapping affected and responsible groups

The school should map both affected groups and duty-bearing bodies before consultation begins. The map should include learners by stage and relevant characteristic, parents or carers, teachers, non-teaching staff, school leadership, governing body, local education authority and providers of services on which the proposed result depends.

comparability and baseline, feasibility, action in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 148. Mapping affected and responsible groups to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It is to prevent the plan from hearing only those who are easiest to reach or most accustomed to institutional meetings. A group with little formal power may hold evidence essential to the reliability of the baseline or the feasibility of an action.

149

Representation and the risk of proxy voice

equity and members, linguistic, community in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 149. Representation and the risk of proxy voice to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. One articulate participant cannot automatically speak for all learners, all parents, all persons with disabilities or all members of a linguistic community.

authority and unanimity, actually, established in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 149. Representation and the risk of proxy voice to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The plan should identify the proxy relationship and supplement it with direct observation or other evidence where feasible. Statements made on behalf of a group should not be presented as unanimous unless unanimity was actually established.

150

Learner participation

Learners can provide evidence about classroom experience, safety, workload, treatment, accessibility and the practical effect of school rules. Methods should be suited to age, communication needs and the sensitivity of the issue. Class discussions may be suitable for general matters; confidential interviews or anonymous instruments may be needed for bullying, punishment or discrimination.

Learner participation must not expose a child to retaliation or require public disclosure of personal circumstances. The school should explain the purpose of participation, the voluntary nature of sensitive disclosure and the route for immediate protection where serious harm is reported. The Convention on the Rights of the Child supports appropriate regard for the views of the child in matters affecting the child.[REF-12]

151

Participation of parents and carers

uncertainty and confidence, official, settings in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 151. Participation of parents and carers to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Consultation should not assume literacy, free time, transport or confidence in official settings.

Meetings at one time and in one language may systematically exclude the people whose circumstances the plan most needs to understand. Alternative times, short interviews, translated or oral information and trusted community channels may be necessary. The school should distinguish the number invited, the number reached and the composition of participants.

152

Teacher professional participation

Teachers are responsible for much of the practice through which improvement is expected to occur. They should therefore participate in defining instructional problems, interpreting learner work, judging the feasibility of milestones and specifying the professional support required.

Participation should allow professional disagreement. A plan is weakened when teachers are asked only to endorse a completed design or when concerns about workload and curriculum are treated as resistance. The status and professional responsibilities of teachers warrant meaningful consultation on educational change.[REF-11]

153

Non-teaching staff and operational knowledge

authority and difficulties, contacting, families in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 153. Non-teaching staff and operational knowledge to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They may observe late arrival, inaccessible facilities, delayed records, unsafe spaces, material shortages or difficulties in contacting families.

distribution and record, service, conditions in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 153. Non-teaching staff and operational knowledge to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Operational knowledge is particularly important where an apparently instructional problem is partly created by timetable, facility, record or service conditions.

154

Reaching under-represented groups

The school should test whether participation reflects the population affected by the decision. Relevant checks may include sex, age or grade, disability, language, location, poverty-related vulnerability, minority status and pattern of attendance. These are not quotas for every meeting; they are safeguards against systematic absence from the evidence base.

If a group is missing, the school should identify the reason and use a suitable supplementary method. Silence cannot be interpreted as satisfaction where the means of participation were inaccessible, costly or unsafe.

155

Accessible participation

remedy and sufficient, supported, communication in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 155. Accessible participation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. This may require plain language, translation, sign interpretation, accessible rooms, large print, assistance with forms or sufficient time for supported communication.

capacity and planned, rather, participant in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 155. Accessible participation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Merely admitting a person to a meeting is inadequate if the agenda, documents or discussion remain inaccessible. The cost and responsibility for necessary arrangements should be planned rather than left to the participant.

156

Safe participation and protection from reprisal

continuity and concerns, without, retaliation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 156. Safe participation and protection from reprisal to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Sensitive complaints should not be placed in open minutes without consent and a clear protection purpose. Staff and learners should have a route to raise concerns without retaliation.

Where a consultation reveals possible abuse, serious safety risk or unlawful exclusion, the school should activate the applicable protection procedure. The development-plan process is not a substitute for urgent safeguarding action.

157

Information before consultation

Participants require enough information to form a considered view. The school should provide the question to be decided, relevant baseline evidence, known constraints, available options and the intended use of responses. Technical material should be explained without changing its meaning.

timing and participants, effectively, withholding in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 157. Information before consultation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Conversely, presenting an extensive technical file without a usable explanation may exclude participants as effectively as withholding it.

158

Deliberation rather than aggregation alone

feasibility and lawful, equitable, educationally in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 158. Deliberation rather than aggregation alone to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Participants may need to examine causes, consider trade-offs and revise an initial view after hearing evidence. A majority preference does not by itself establish that an action is lawful, equitable or educationally sound.

uncertainty and evidence, public, purpose in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 158. Deliberation rather than aggregation alone to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Where the final decision differs from a strongly expressed view, the responsible authority should give a reason tied to evidence and public purpose.

159

Consultation records

capacity and retained, necessary, lawful in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 159. Consultation records to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Names should be retained only where necessary and lawful.

comparability and action, decision, register in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 159. Consultation records to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should be sufficient to show that participation was real and that relevant evidence entered the decision process. Commitments made during consultation should be transferred to the action or decision register.

160

Feedback to participants

equity and errors, record, corrected in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 160. Feedback to participants to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Feedback is particularly important when the plan cannot adopt a requested action. It reduces the risk that consultation becomes extractive and allows errors in the record to be corrected.

authority and through, community, visits in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 160. Feedback to participants to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A final plan displayed only in an office or on a notice board may not reach those who contributed orally or through community visits.

161

Governing-body responsibility

timing and conditions, reserved, matters in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 161. Governing-body responsibility to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Approval should not be inferred from attendance at a presentation. The record should show the version approved, date, conditions and any reserved matters.

coverage and oversight, material, deviations in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 161. Governing-body responsibility to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Approval of a plan does not remove continuing oversight of material deviations or harms.

162

Leadership responsibility

School leadership is responsible for organising the planning process, maintaining the evidence record, assigning operational ownership and ensuring that concerns reach the competent authority. Leadership should protect space for professional and learner evidence, including evidence that challenges the initial diagnosis.

The plan should not depend on undocumented personal knowledge held by one leader. Key definitions, decisions and commitments must remain usable during absence or succession.

163

Distributed operational responsibility

comparability and becomes, ownership, practice in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 163. Distributed operational responsibility to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Each action and milestone should have one accountable owner, named supporting roles and an escalation route. Collective ownership without a decision right often becomes no ownership in practice.

The owner should have access to the information and authority required for the task. Assigning responsibility to a teacher for an external staffing decision does not transfer control of that decision; it creates a monitoring or liaison role that should be described accurately.

164

Authority outside the school

Some barriers can be resolved only by a local, regional or national authority. The plan should identify the competent body, the request made, supporting evidence, response date and consequence of delay. Matters beyond school control should not disappear from the plan merely because they are difficult.

The school remains responsible for feasible interim measures and for communicating material risk. The higher authority should receive information in a form that supports a decision, not merely a general complaint.

165

Community contribution and public responsibility

coverage and transparent, consistent, access in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 165. Community contribution and public responsibility to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Such contribution should be voluntary, transparent and consistent with equal access.

feasibility and compulsory, contributions, participation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 165. Community contribution and public responsibility to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A plan should not transfer a public duty to families with the fewest resources or present compulsory contributions as participation.

166

Partnerships and role clarity

External organisations may provide materials, expertise or services. The plan should state the contribution, duration, conditions, data arrangements, supervision and exit responsibility. The school's educational objectives and protection obligations remain controlling.

capacity and demonstrate, educational, benefit in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 166. Partnerships and role clarity to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Visibility, donated value or number of sessions does not demonstrate educational benefit.

167

Conflict of interest

continuity and necessary, record, mitigation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 167. Conflict of interest to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The plan should require disclosure, an independent decision where necessary and a record of the mitigation used.

equity and public, confidence, evidence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 167. Conflict of interest to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Family relationships, institutional affiliations and reputational benefit may affect judgement. Failure to manage a conflict can weaken both the decision and public confidence in the evidence.

168

Complaint and review routes

distribution and expected, response, review in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 168. Complaint and review routes to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The route should state where the concern is lodged, the expected response time and the next level of review.

timing and individual, resolved, separately in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 168. Complaint and review routes to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Patterns of similar complaints may become a monitoring indicator even where individual cases are resolved separately.

169

Publication and understandable accountability

feasibility and removed, summarised, safely in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 169. Publication and understandable accountability to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Personal data, safeguarding details and confidential personnel matters should be removed or summarised safely.

uncertainty and version, provided, identify in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 169. Publication and understandable accountability to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Uncertainty, dependency and incomplete baseline coverage remain material to a fair account. A concise public version may accompany the controlled working version, provided both identify their scope and date.

170

Table 9: participation and governance record

Table 9. Participation and governance assurance record
Assurance questionMinimum evidenceReliability riskRequired response
who is affectedpopulation and stakeholder mapeasiest-to-reach groups dominatetargeted supplementary participation
what decision is openquestion, options and constraintsconsultation after decisionreopen the material issue or explain lawful limit
whether participation is accessiblelanguage, format, venue and support recordformal attendance without usable accessprovide accommodation and repeat where necessary
whether views are safely obtainedconfidentiality and protection arrangementssilence caused by fearconfidential route and safeguarding action
how evidence affected the planconsultation-response recordsymbolic participationreasoned response and revised plan field
who approvedbody, version, date and conditionsambiguous authorityformal decision and version control
who actsaccountable owner and supporting rolescollective but unowned taskassign authority and escalation
how challenge occurscomplaint and review routeerrors remain uncorrectedaccessible review and decision record
what is publishedpublic version and disclosure datepromotional or unsafe disclosurecompleteness and privacy check

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

171

Participation quality tests

equity and stronger, evidence, defined in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 171. Participation quality tests to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A high attendance figure may coexist with poor representation or no influence on the decision. A small, carefully composed discussion may provide stronger evidence for a defined issue.

The school should therefore report both quantitative and qualitative evidence. It should avoid converting participation into a ceremonial indicator detached from the plan's substantive decisions.

172

Governance conclusion

timing and providing, routes, correction in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 172. Governance conclusion to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Participation strengthens that chain when it is accessible, protected and linked to an open question. Governance completes it by assigning authority, recording reasons and providing routes for correction.

Part X

Monitoring, Review and Corrective Decisions

173

Monitoring as disciplined attention

uncertainty and decisions, during, implementation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 173. Monitoring as disciplined attention to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It is not the accumulation of every available record. The monitoring design should concentrate attention on decisions that may need to be taken during implementation.

The school should specify the evidence, frequency, owner, verification and decision rule before results are known. Retrospective selection of favourable measures weakens the integrity of the plan.

174

Monitoring questions

comparability and whether, inequities, appearing in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 174. Monitoring questions to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. These normally concern whether resources and authority are available, whether actions reach the intended population, whether implementation quality is adequate, whether practice is changing, whether intermediate results are emerging and whether harms or inequities are appearing.

Questions should be phrased so that an answer can alter a decision. “How is the programme progressing?” is too broad. “Has every first-grade class received the agreed daily reading period, and what prevented delivery where it did not occur?” directs evidence toward correction.

175

Monitoring levels

authority and participation, learning, wellbeing in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 175. Monitoring levels to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Input monitoring concerns resources and readiness; activity monitoring concerns delivery; output monitoring concerns immediate products or reach; practice monitoring concerns changed behaviour; outcome monitoring concerns learner participation, learning or wellbeing.

distribution and necessary, establish, learning in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 175. Monitoring levels to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Delivery of materials may be necessary, but it does not establish use. Use may be necessary, but it does not establish learning.

176

Frequency proportionate to decision

coverage and defined, instructional, points in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 176. Frequency proportionate to decision to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Attendance may require weekly examination during an acute problem; a stable infrastructure condition may require termly verification; a learning outcome may require evidence at defined instructional points.

feasibility and should, interval, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 176. Frequency proportionate to decision to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Infrequent review can allow an avoidable failure to persist. The plan should state why the interval is fit for the decision.

177

Monitoring calendar

The calendar should align evidence collection with milestones, governing meetings, resource decisions and school terms. It should account for examination periods, holidays, seasonal access conditions and known reporting obligations.

Dates should be fixed where possible. “Termly” may be ambiguous across schools or years; a defined evidence window and review date permit comparison and timely action.

178

Evidence ownership

continuity and reporting, missing, changed in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 178. Evidence ownership to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Ownership includes maintaining the definition and reporting missing or changed data.

equity and proportionate, available, capacity in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 178. Evidence ownership to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Separation should be proportionate to risk and available capacity.

179

Data collection at source

distribution and stronger, statement, arrived in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 179. Data collection at source to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Attendance recorded contemporaneously is generally more reliable than recollection at month end; material receipt verified at delivery is stronger than a later statement that it arrived.

Source records should retain date, population and responsible recorder. Later summaries should be reproducible from the source or accompanied by an explanation of estimation.

180

Completeness checks

feasibility and conceal, substantial, incompleteness in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 180. Completeness checks to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A percentage without a denominator and coverage statement may conceal substantial incompleteness.

The school should examine whether missingness is concentrated in a class, location or learner group. Missing evidence from the most difficult setting can produce an unduly favourable account of implementation.

181

Consistency checks

capacity and require, resolution, disclosure in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 181. Consistency checks to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Unexpected differences require resolution or disclosure.

Consistency does not prove truth, but inconsistency is a useful signal. The correction should preserve the original entry, reason, date and person making the change.

182

Direct observation

equity and preparation, categories, consistently in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 182. Direct observation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The instrument should define the practice, observation period, sampling approach and recording categories. Observers require sufficient preparation to apply the categories consistently.

Observation can itself influence behaviour. A single announced visit should not be treated as representative without supporting evidence. Feedback should support improvement and avoid public ranking of individual teachers from limited observations.

183

Review of learner work

timing and period, should, recorded in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 183. Review of learner work to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Sampling should include work from different attainment levels and relevant groups, not only selected high-quality examples. The review criteria and period should be recorded.

Work review can inform professional discussion without becoming an unsupported judgement of a teacher or learner. Where scoring is used, moderation should test whether reviewers apply the criteria consistently.

184

Learner and family evidence during implementation

Short, focused enquiries can test whether actions are accessible and experienced as intended. For example, a school may ask whether a new support period is available at the stated time, whether transport assistance reaches the named area or whether learners understand a revised safety route.

Responses should be interpreted with coverage and protection considerations. A satisfaction score alone rarely explains whether the substantive condition has improved.

185

Financial and resource monitoring

The school should distinguish budget, commitment, expenditure, receipt and use. A paid invoice does not establish delivery; delivered goods do not establish classroom use. Material records should link specification, quantity, location and condition to the intended action.

continuity and budget, amount, determine in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 185. Financial and resource monitoring to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Underspending may indicate efficiency, delay, non-delivery or an unrealistic budget; the amount alone does not determine which.

186

Monitoring implementation quality

authority and administration, scoring, consistency in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 186. Monitoring implementation quality to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Training may require relevant content, practice and follow-up; tutoring may require regular attendance, appropriate grouping and aligned instruction; a new assessment may require administration and scoring consistency.

The criteria should be observable and limited to what matters for the result. An elaborate checklist that cannot be applied reliably adds burden without assurance.

187

Monitoring reach

coverage and equity, purpose, exclusion in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 187. Monitoring reach to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The denominator should be the eligible population, not only those who attended. Differences by relevant group or location should be examined where the plan has an equity purpose or exclusion risk.

feasibility and increasing, overall, participation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 187. Monitoring reach to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Corrective action depends on identifying the mechanism rather than merely increasing the overall participation count.

188

Monitoring unintended effects

The plan should identify plausible adverse effects and the evidence that would reveal them. Examples include curriculum narrowing, increased learner workload, exclusion of low-performing learners from assessment, diversion of teacher time, confidentiality breaches or unequal access to a new resource.

An unintended effect may require modification even when the principal indicator improves. Public-interest planning weighs the full educational consequence, not a single target.

189

Thresholds and decision rules

continuity and circumstances, materially, differ in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 189. Thresholds and decision rules to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It may trigger verification, additional support, redesign, escalation, suspension or formal review. The rule should be proportionate and should not replace professional judgement where circumstances materially differ.

Thresholds should not be set only to label success or failure. Their principal value during implementation is to shorten the interval between evidence and corrective action.

190

Tolerance and normal variation

distribution and evidence, becomes, available in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 190. Tolerance and normal variation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A tolerance range can prevent overreaction to a minor fluctuation. The basis for the range should be stated and reconsidered when better evidence becomes available.

Tolerance must not normalise rights violations or serious safety risk. Certain events require immediate action regardless of aggregate performance.

191

Exception reporting

feasibility and immediate, response, review in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 191. Exception reporting to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. An exception record should state the expected condition, observed condition, evidence, cause, consequence, immediate response, owner and review date.

It should not omit satisfactory areas from the underlying record. Nor should it conceal a persistent problem by repeatedly extending the deadline without examining the design.

192

Review meetings

capacity and contradicts, preferred, account in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 192. Review meetings to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Participants should receive a concise evidence pack in advance, including missing data, deviations, group differences, risks and proposed responses. Time should be reserved for evidence that contradicts the preferred account.

The chair should confirm decisions, owners, deadlines and matters escalated. Discussion without a recorded decision does not change implementation.

193

Evidence pack

equity and should, remain, accessible in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 193. Evidence pack to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Definitions and denominators should remain accessible.

authority and practice, learner, result in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 193. Evidence pack to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A green status cannot be assigned solely because an activity occurred when the relevant milestone concerns practice or learner result.

194

Status classifications

timing and reached, current, design in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 194. Status classifications to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. “On track” may mean evidence is within the expected range and no material unresolved risk exists; “at risk” may mean the milestone remains attainable only with corrective action; “off track” may mean the milestone will not be reached under the current design.

coverage and identified, action, prompt in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 194. Status classifications to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should not be altered to protect reputation. A plan may be responsibly managed while an indicator is off track if the cause is identified and action is prompt.

195

Corrective action

Corrective action should address the observed mechanism of failure. If materials are unused because teachers lack preparation, additional delivery will not correct the problem. If attendance support misses a remote area because transport eligibility is too narrow, general awareness activity may not change reach.

The correction record should identify the evidence, cause, revised action, resource implication, responsible authority and date for renewed review.

196

Escalation

Escalation is required where the school lacks authority or resources, where a material risk affects rights or safety, or where repeated local correction has failed. The receiving authority should be given a defined question and supporting evidence.

The plan should record acknowledgement, decision date and interim protection. Escalation should not become a means of abandoning local responsibility for feasible action.

197

Suspension and stopping rules

authority and produce, intended, result in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 197. Suspension and stopping rules to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A stopping rule may also apply when continued expenditure cannot reasonably produce the intended result.

distribution and decision, should, retained in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 197. Suspension and stopping rules to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The original evidence and authority for the decision should be retained.

198

Revision of milestones and targets

coverage and performance, apparent, success in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 198. Revision of milestones and targets to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Revision should not erase the original value or be used simply to convert poor performance into apparent success.

feasibility and combined, without, reconciliation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 198. Revision of milestones and targets to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Results before and after a changed definition should not be combined without reconciliation.

199

Version control

remedy and entered, change, register in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 199. Version control to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Changes to priorities, definitions, targets, actions, resources or review arrangements should be entered in a change register.

Readers should be able to determine which version governed a given period. Undated replacement of the plan weakens accountability and makes later evaluation unreliable.

200

Verification

continuity and method, exceptions, conclusion in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 200. Verification to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It may include checking a sample to source records, repeating a calculation, observing practice, confirming receipt or reconciling registers. The verifier should record method, exceptions and conclusion.

Verification is not a second collection of all data. Its design should be proportionate to the consequence of error and the independence needed for confidence.

201

Internal challenge

distribution and against, premature, certainty in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 201. Internal challenge to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The purpose is not adversarial inspection but protection against premature certainty.

The challenge record should show how material questions were resolved. Unresolved uncertainty should remain visible in the status or decision.

202

Reporting to the governing body

feasibility and uncertainty, should, removed in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 202. Reporting to the governing body to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Operational detail may be summarised, but significant uncertainty should not be removed.

Reports should distinguish information, recommendation and decision. Minutes should identify the plan version and evidence considered.

203

Public progress reporting

capacity and identify, learner, through in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 203. Public progress reporting to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should protect individual privacy and avoid disclosure that could identify a learner through small cells.

comparability and simple, before, change in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 203. Public progress reporting to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Claims should remain within the strength of evidence and should not imply causation from simple before-and-after change.

204

Table 10: monitoring and corrective-decision register

Table 10. Monitoring, review and corrective-decision register
Control fieldRequired recordReview testDecision consequence
monitoring questiondefined implementation or result questioncan an answer alter actionremove measures without decision use
indicator and sourcedefinition, population, period and sourcecomparable with baselinereconcile or disclose break
coverageexpected, received, missing and unusable recordsmissingness concentratedrecover data or qualify conclusion
milestone statusevidence against dated conditionlevel of result chain correctverify or reclassify
equity effectresult and reach by relevant groupdisadvantage hidden in totaltargeted correction
resource statusallocation, commitment, receipt and usefinance confused with deliverycorrect record and action
unintended effectspecified risk and observed evidencebenefit offset by harmmodify, suspend or escalate
corrective decisioncause, action, owner and deadlineaddresses failure mechanismredesign decision
version changeold value, new value, reason and approvalrevision masks performancerestore original and disclose
public accountdated, complete and privacy-checked summarypromotional selectionissue corrected account

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

205

Monitoring burden

The school should periodically examine the time and cost of monitoring. Duplicate collection, unused indicators and excessively frequent reporting should be removed. A lean system can be more reliable if staff understand definitions and use the evidence.

coverage and requests, across, authorities in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 205. Monitoring burden to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Burden is managed by linking every field to a decision, using existing records where fit for purpose and coordinating requests across authorities.

206

Learning from implementation

uncertainty and revise, result, accordingly in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 206. Learning from implementation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The plan should allow structured learning: record the new evidence, identify which assumption changed and revise the result chain accordingly.

Learning does not mean abandoning standards or continuously changing measures. It means responding transparently when evidence justifies a better account of the problem.

207

Closing a corrective action

comparability and original, problem, persists in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 207. Closing a corrective action to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Completion of the corrective task is not sufficient if the original problem persists.

continuity and closed, unrelated, incidents in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 207. Closing a corrective action to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Recurrent exceptions should be examined together rather than closed as unrelated incidents.

208

Monitoring conclusion

Monitoring makes a school development plan governable when it connects timely evidence to an authorised decision. Reliability depends on stable definitions, visible missingness, attention to equity and a willingness to correct course. The purpose is improved educational provision, not the appearance that an approved plan proceeded without difficulty.

Part XI

Evaluation, Contribution and Uncertainty

209

The evaluative question

Evaluation examines what changed, for whom, under what conditions and with what plausible relationship to the plan. It should begin with a decision need rather than a preferred method. A governing body may need to decide whether to continue an action; an authority may need to decide whether conditions justify extension; teachers may need to decide which practice to retain.

feasibility and results, different, learners in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 209. The evaluative question to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. “Did the plan work? ” is too broad because a plan contains several actions and may produce different results for different learners.

210

Monitoring and evaluation

remedy and functions, overlap, interchangeable in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 210. Monitoring and evaluation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Evaluation makes a more considered judgement about relevance, implementation, results and plausible contribution. The functions overlap, but they are not interchangeable.

capacity and occurred, conditions, differed in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 210. Monitoring and evaluation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Without it, an end-point comparison may show change but cannot explain whether the planned action occurred or how conditions differed.

211

Relevance

continuity and evidence, change, conditions in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 211. Relevance to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should be tested against the original evidence and any change in conditions.

equity and fidelity, inappropriate, design in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 211. Relevance to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Evaluation should not reward implementation fidelity to an inappropriate design.

212

Coherence

Coherence concerns the fit among the plan's actions and between the plan and other school or system obligations. Timetables, curricula, teacher development, learner support and assessment should not impose conflicting demands.

timing and coherence, educational, programme in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 212. Coherence to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A reading initiative that removes learners repeatedly from other essential instruction may improve one measure while weakening the coherence of the educational programme.

213

Implementation fidelity and warranted adaptation

feasibility and response, credible, evidence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 213. Implementation fidelity and warranted adaptation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should distinguish departure caused by failure from adaptation made in response to credible evidence.

uncertainty and record, should, explain in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 213. Implementation fidelity and warranted adaptation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Adaptation is warranted where context requires a different route while preserving the intended function. The record should explain both.

214

Effectiveness

capacity and statistically, administratively, visible in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 214. Effectiveness to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Judgement should consider baseline value, target, observed value, coverage, measurement quality and group distribution. It should also consider whether the result is educationally meaningful, not merely statistically or administratively visible.

comparability and should, retain, distinctions in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 214. Effectiveness to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The conclusion should retain these distinctions.

215

Equity

equity and participation, learning, disparity in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 215. Equity to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Evaluation should therefore examine distribution where the plan concerns access, participation, learning or a known disparity.

authority and excluded, action, measurement in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 215. Equity to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A favourable result among participants cannot answer whether eligible learners were excluded from the action or from measurement.

216

Efficiency

timing and facing, substantial, barriers in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 216. Efficiency to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It is not equivalent to low expenditure. A low-cost action that produces little benefit may be inefficient, while a more resource-intensive action may be justified for learners facing substantial barriers.

Costs should be defined consistently and should include material staff time and displaced activity. Comparisons require reasonably similar purposes and populations.

217

Sustainability

uncertainty and dependence, temporary, assistance in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 217. Sustainability to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should examine recurrent cost, competence, leadership support, maintenance, data routines and dependence on temporary assistance.

remedy and because, become, established in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 217. Sustainability to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A practice should be sustained because evidence supports its continuing relevance and benefit, not merely because it has become established.

218

Impact and the limits of attribution

Impact may refer to broader or longer-term educational effects. At school level, many such effects are influenced by maturation, household conditions, policy changes, cohort composition and other programmes. A simple comparison before and after the plan rarely isolates its effect.

continuity and different, strengths, inference in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 218. Impact and the limits of attribution to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. “Contributed to,” “was associated with” and “coincided with” are not interchangeable concessions; they communicate different strengths of inference.

219

Contribution analysis

authority and explanations, evidence, better in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 219. Contribution analysis to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It examines whether actions occurred, whether expected intermediate changes followed, whether results moved in the expected direction and whether plausible alternative explanations fit the evidence better.

This approach does not prove that the plan was the sole cause. It produces a reasoned judgement from the sequence and consistency of evidence.

220

The contribution claim

coverage and supports, evidence, weakens in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 220. The contribution claim to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should identify evidence that supports the claim and evidence that weakens it.

For example, a school may conclude that structured attendance follow-up probably contributed to improved continuity among the reached group because contact became faster, identified transport barriers were resolved and attendance improved after implementation, while noting a simultaneous seasonal change.

221

Alternative explanations

remedy and programmes, changed, practice in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 221. Alternative explanations to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They may include cohort change, wider policy, staffing change, examination difficulty, economic conditions, regression after an unusual baseline, additional programmes or changed data practice.

capacity and reduce, strength, conclusion in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 221. Alternative explanations to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. If it cannot be tested, the resulting uncertainty should reduce the strength of the conclusion.

222

Counterfactual reasoning

continuity and limited, counterfactual, information in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 222. Counterfactual reasoning to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A formal comparison group may not be available, but prior trends, phased implementation, comparable classes or unaffected outcomes can provide limited counterfactual information.

equity and should, limitations, comparability in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 222. Counterfactual reasoning to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Differences in population, teaching conditions or exposure may explain the result. The evaluation should state the basis and limitations of comparability.

223

Before-and-after comparison

distribution and change, necessarily, effect in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 223. Before-and-after comparison to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It describes change, not necessarily effect.

timing and cohort, individual, progression in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 223. Before-and-after comparison to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Where cohorts differ, the evaluation should distinguish cohort-level from individual progression.

224

Comparison within the school

Classes, grades, periods or sites may provide comparative evidence if relevant conditions are documented. A later-starting group can help examine whether change preceded exposure; variation in implementation can help test whether stronger delivery accompanies stronger intermediate results.

Such comparisons should not deny a beneficial action solely for research purposes where provision is needed. The design should serve educational responsibility.

225

Mixed evidence

capacity and coverage, disciplined, interpretation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 225. Mixed evidence to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Neither is inherently superior. Reliability depends on suitability, coverage and disciplined interpretation.

Convergence strengthens a conclusion when independent sources point to the same account. Divergence should prompt investigation rather than selective reporting.

226

Sampling for evaluation

equity and sample, response, limits in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 226. Sampling for evaluation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It may be random, stratified or purposive. The evaluation should state the eligible population, selection method, achieved sample, non-response and limits.

Samples of learner work or interviews should include relevant variation. Selection of readily available or exemplary cases cannot support a claim about the whole school.

227

Measurement change

timing and whether, values, reconciled in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 227. Measurement change to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The evaluation should maintain a measurement-change log and determine whether values can be reconciled.

coverage and unlike, measures, series in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 227. Measurement change to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The inconvenience of a break does not justify treating unlike measures as one series.

228

Missing outcomes

uncertainty and described, population, results in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 228. Missing outcomes to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The number, characteristics and reasons should be examined. Complete-case results should not be described as whole-population results.

remedy and should, create, precision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 228. Missing outcomes to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Unsupported imputation should not create false precision.

229

Small numbers

Small schools and small subgroups may show large percentage movement from a few learners. Counts should accompany rates, and multi-period evidence may be more informative than a single comparison.

continuity and protected, detail, necessary in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 229. Small numbers to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Public reports may need to combine categories or describe the issue without publishing a cell that permits identification. Internal analysis can retain protected detail where necessary.

230

Uncertainty

authority and identified, affects, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 230. Uncertainty to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should be identified where it affects a decision.

distribution and coverage, alternative, explanations in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 230. Uncertainty to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A concise uncertainty statement should also address comparability, coverage and alternative explanations.

231

Confidence in findings

coverage and should, accompanied, reasons in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 231. Confidence in findings to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The rating should be accompanied by reasons.

feasibility and authority, supported, finding in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 231. Confidence in findings to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Their purpose is to prevent a tentative observation from being presented with the same authority as a well-supported finding.

232

Negative and null findings

remedy and identifying, account, supported in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 232. Negative and null findings to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It may show that the mechanism was weak, exposure insufficient, period too short or barrier misdiagnosed. The next decision depends on identifying which account is best supported.

Negative findings should not be removed from publication or reframed as success through activity counts. They protect resources and learners from continued ineffective action.

233

Unexpected positive findings

continuity and action, plausibly, contributed in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 233. Unexpected positive findings to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The evaluation should establish whether the change is credible, for whom it occurred and whether the action plausibly contributed.

If pursued in a later plan, the finding becomes a hypothesis supported by preliminary evidence, not a settled result.

234

Harm and adverse distribution

distribution and improvement, primary, indicator in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 234. Harm and adverse distribution to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Harm can outweigh improvement on the primary indicator.

The judgement should identify affected persons, severity, reversibility and action taken. Serious harm requires immediate response and should not await the final evaluation cycle.

235

Independence and evaluative responsibility

The person responsible for implementation should contribute evidence but should not be the sole judge of a high-stakes result. Independent review may come from another school leader, governing member, authority officer or suitably qualified reviewer without responsibility for the action.

Independence should be described accurately. A colleague within the same management line provides internal challenge, not external independence.

236

Evaluation ethics

capacity and proportionate, method, population in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 236. Evaluation ethics to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Consent or other lawful authority, confidentiality, secure records and protection arrangements should be proportionate to the method and population.

comparability and answers, question, reliably in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 236. Evaluation ethics to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Existing evidence should be used where it answers the question reliably.

237

Findings, conclusions and recommendations

equity and distinct, reasoning, reviewable in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 237. Findings, conclusions and recommendations to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Conclusions interpret those findings against the evaluative question. Recommendations propose action and should identify the authority capable of taking it. Keeping these elements distinct makes the reasoning reviewable.

Recommendations should not extend beyond the evidence. A successful action in one grade may justify continued local use and further testing, not an immediate claim of universal applicability.

238

Management response

timing and timing, reason, acceptance in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 238. Management response to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The response should state action, owner and timing, or give a reason for non-acceptance.

The evaluator should not rewrite the finding to secure agreement. Difference between evidence-based evaluation and management decision should remain visible.

239

Evaluation record

uncertainty and protected, source, records in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 239. Evaluation record to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Calculations should be reproducible from protected source records.

Publication may omit confidential detail, but the controlled file should retain the basis for the public conclusion and the date on which evidence closed.

240

Table 11: contribution and uncertainty assessment

Table 11. Contribution and uncertainty assessment
Assessment domainEvidence consideredQuestion for judgementConstraint on claim
relevancebaseline, participation and current contextdid the action address a material barrierchanged or incomplete diagnosis
implementationreach, intensity, quality and adaptationwas the intended function deliveredactivity record without quality
resultbaseline, follow-up, distribution and targetwhat changed and for whommissing or non-comparable outcomes
sequencedated action, milestone and outcome evidencedid expected changes follow exposuretiming too coarse or simultaneous change
mechanismpractice evidence and intermediate resultis the causal pathway observedabsent intermediate condition
alternativescontextual and comparative evidenceis another explanation more credibleuntested external change
equityreach and result by relevant groupwas benefit shared without harmsmall or suppressed cells
efficiencycost, staff time and resultwere resources proportionateincomplete opportunity cost
sustainabilityrecurrent resources and institutional routinecan warranted benefit continuetemporary person or finance dependence
confidencesource quality, consistency and uncertaintyhow strongly can the conclusion be statedcumulative evidence limitations

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

241

Evaluation conclusion

Evaluation completes the accountability cycle by testing results, mechanisms and alternatives. Its authority rests less on certainty than on disciplined limits: comparable evidence, explicit uncertainty, fair treatment of negative findings and conclusions no stronger than the design permits.

Part XII

Applied School-Planning Cases

242

Purpose and status of the cases

The cases that follow are constructed applications of the framework. They demonstrate how evidence may be organised; they are not accounts of identified institutions and do not supply universal benchmarks. Every numerical value is included to show a calculation or decision, not to prescribe an expected level.

Each case begins with a decision problem, establishes a bounded baseline, develops a result chain and tests the integrity of milestones and targets. The cases also show why an apparently favourable aggregate may require a different decision after coverage, distribution or implementation quality is examined.

243

Case A: attendance continuity in a dispersed rural school

A school serving six settlements records 214 enrolled learners. The initial register suggests an average attendance rate of 86 per cent during the first eight instructional weeks. Examination of the source records finds that two satellite classes submitted only five of the eight weekly returns. The calculated rate therefore describes 159 learners with substantially complete records, not the full enrolled population. The school does not adopt 86 per cent as its baseline.

The planning team reconstructs the denominator by instructional day and learner, retrieves two missing weeks and records the remaining unavailable class-weeks. For the six-week verified period, 204 learners have usable records. They account for 6,120 possible learner-days and 5,124 days present, a verified attendance rate of 83.7 per cent. Ten learners lack adequate records and are described separately. The difference is material because missing records were concentrated in the most remote settlement.

Family interviews, route mapping and late-arrival records indicate three distinct mechanisms: seasonal river access for one settlement, an informal charge associated with transport for another, and repeated absence after a learner missed several days and found return difficult. The priority is defined as continuity of participation among learners exposed to transport and re-entry barriers, not “poor parental commitment.”

The result chain distinguishes action levels. Inputs are an authorised transport arrangement, a named attendance liaison and teacher time for re-entry support. Activities are daily register closure, same-week contact after two consecutive absences and a short re-entry learning plan. Outputs are verified contact and support delivered. Practice results are earlier identification and consistent re-entry. The outcome is improved attendance continuity without punitive exclusion.

The first milestone, due after four weeks, requires complete daily registers from all six settlements, with no class outstanding for more than two instructional days. The second requires verified contact within five instructional days for at least 90 per cent of newly identified repeated-absence cases, reported with the eligible count. The third requires a functioning transport decision and evidence of actual use by the affected settlement. These are intermediate conditions; none is labelled improved attendance.

The outcome target is set only after the reconstructed baseline. It seeks a reduction in learners missing 20 per cent or more of instructional days from 47 of 204 measured learners to no more than 31 of the comparable population by the end of the next two terms. The school also requires that no settlement's rate deteriorate by more than three percentage points and that missing records remain below two per cent of possible learner-days.

After one term, aggregate attendance rises to 87.1 per cent. However, the transport arrangement began three weeks late, and the remote settlement improves only from 68.4 to 70.2 per cent. The review therefore classifies the plan as at risk rather than on track. Corrective action addresses the delayed transport authority and extends re-entry support; it does not celebrate the aggregate and close the priority.

244

Case A calculation and decision record

Table 12. Rural attendance case: baseline and review record
FieldBaseline or conditionFirst reviewDecision implication
enrolled population214 learners216 learnersdenominators must be period-specific
learners with usable baseline records204212report coverage with the rate
possible learner-days6,1206,360derived from verified instructional days
days present5,1245,540source-register total
attendance rate83.7%87.1%improvement does not settle distribution
learners missing at least 20%47 of 20439 of 212progress, target not yet reached
remote-settlement rate68.4%70.2%principal access barrier persists
register completeness95.2% of expected class-weeks initially99.1% of possible learner-daysbaseline break documented
transport milestoneauthorisation absentbegan three weeks lateescalate delay and retain interim support
overall statusbaseline establishedat risktargeted correction, no target revision

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

245

Case A evaluative boundary

The case does not support a claim that contact or transport caused the whole-school increase. Weather and the instructional calendar changed between periods, and the population was not identical. It does support a more limited conclusion that register reliability improved, contact practice became more consistent and attendance continuity improved among several reached learners.

The remote-settlement result weakens the overall contribution claim and directs the next decision. Publication would present both the aggregate and the settlement disparity, while protecting small-cell identities. The plan remains open until the access mechanism is resolved or the authority adopts another adequate route.

246

Case B: early-grade reading instruction

An urban primary school identifies weak reading comprehension in grade three. The available end-of-year test reports that 42 per cent met the school's expected level. Before using the figure, the planning team finds that the test covered 118 of 137 enrolled learners; nine absent learners and ten learners receiving language support did not complete the same form. The result is therefore not a complete grade baseline.

The team administers a short common assessment at the beginning of the next instructional period, with supported but substantively equivalent access arrangements. Of 140 enrolled learners, 134 complete the measure. Results are retained by component: accurate word reading, oral reading fluency and comprehension of grade-appropriate text. The baseline shows that 76 learners meet the word-reading criterion, 58 meet the fluency criterion and 49 meet the comprehension criterion. Thirty-one learners have substantial difficulty in both word reading and comprehension.

Review of lesson plans, classroom observation and learner work shows that all classes allocate time to reading, but explicit modelling, guided practice and feedback vary substantially. The plan therefore defines the improvement problem as inconsistent delivery of structured reading instruction and insufficient targeted support, not a general deficit attributed to learners.

Inputs include protected instructional time, common teaching materials, moderated assessment tasks and coaching capacity. Activities include joint planning, demonstration, classroom practice and fortnightly review of learner work. Outputs include completed planning cycles and coaching visits. The practice milestone requires observers to find the agreed sequence—modelling, guided reading, checking for understanding and feedback—in at least three separate observations in every class, with moderation between observers.

The target is not limited to the percentage above one threshold. By the second common assessment, the school seeks at least 68 of the comparable learners meeting the comprehension criterion, a reduction from 31 to no more than 20 learners with combined word-reading and comprehension difficulty, and no decline in access or performance among learners receiving language support. The school retains the full range of curriculum and does not increase test rehearsal time.

At the midpoint, 12 of 16 planned joint-planning sessions have occurred. Observation finds the full instructional sequence consistently in three of five classes; two classes lack adequate guided practice. A sample of learner work shows more frequent feedback but uneven task demand. Comprehension results rise, but assessment moderation identifies scoring differences on open responses. The review declines to publish the preliminary percentage until rescoring is complete.

Corrective action provides joint observation and planning for the two classes and repeats scorer moderation using an agreed set of scripts. The milestone date is retained. Additional test practice is rejected because it would not address the diagnosed instructional mechanism and could narrow teaching.

247

Case B calculation and decision record

Table 13. Early-grade reading case: result-chain evidence
Evidence levelBaseline or expected conditionMidpoint evidenceDecision
inputprotected time and common materials not assuredavailable in all five classesinput ready
activityno joint cycle12 of 16 sessions completedrecover four sessions without compressing practice
outputno common observation recordeach class observed at least twicesufficient coverage, further moderation needed
practicesequence inconsistentconsistent in 3 of 5 classestargeted coaching for two classes
word-reading result76 of 134 meet criterion84 of 132 measuredinterpret with changed measured count
comprehension result49 of 134 meet criterionprovisional 63 of 132withhold conclusion pending rescoring
combined difficulty31 of 134 learners25 of 132 measuredexamine identity and support reach
language-support group18 measured learners17 measured learnersretain protected small-group analysis
assessment reliabilityaccess and components documentedopen-response scoring inconsistentmoderate and rescore before publication
curriculum breadthno protected checktimetable and work sample stablecontinue monitoring

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

248

Case B evaluative boundary

If moderated results confirm improvement, the strongest defensible claim is that the planned instructional practice was established in most classes and that grade-level reading results improved during the same period. Variation between classes may support the proposed mechanism, but it does not remove alternative explanations such as maturation and other instruction.

Continuation should depend on final assessment quality, reach of support and sustained practice. Extension to another grade would require a new baseline and adaptation to its curriculum; it should not be treated as automatic replication of a proven package.

249

Case C: transition from primary to lower secondary education

A district school serving as a receiving lower-secondary institution records 312 expected entrants from eight primary schools. The administrative baseline reports 286 enrolments by the first census date, a transition rate of 91.7 per cent. Examination of the list finds duplicate names, late transfers and eleven learners whose completion status is unclear. The denominator and numerator do not yet represent the same eligible population.

The school and district reconcile individual records using a protected identifier. The verified eligible cohort is 301 learners: 279 enrolled in the receiving school or another recognised lower-secondary placement by the census date, 12 enrolled late within the following month, six not enrolled and four with unresolved destination. The primary transition measure is 279 of 301, or 92.7 per cent, at the defined census date. Late enrolment and unresolved cases remain separate.

Interviews and case review indicate that costs of uniform and materials, uncertain placement information, distance and concerns about safety affect different learners. Girls in two distant communities and learners with prior irregular attendance are over-represented among late and non-enrolment cases. The plan defines both timely transition and continuity through the first term as outcomes; initial enrolment alone is insufficient.

Actions include verified transfer lists, information meetings in each feeder community, early identification of material-support eligibility, named case follow-up and safe-route coordination. A milestone six weeks before entry requires every feeder school to submit a reconciled prospective list with destination preference and contact status. A second milestone requires a documented response for every identified barrier before the first instructional day.

The timely-transition target is at least 289 of a reconciled eligible cohort of approximately 301, while reducing the difference between the two distant communities and the remaining cohort. The continuity target requires at least 95 per cent of timely entrants to remain enrolled and attend at least 80 per cent of instructional days through the first term. Counts, denominators and exclusions must accompany each rate.

At review, the school receives complete lists from seven feeder schools; the eighth list remains unreconciled. Material support is authorised but reaches nine learners after the first day. Timely enrolment improves to 291 of 305 verified eligible learners, but first-term continuity among one distant community is 84 per cent compared with 96 per cent elsewhere. The timely target is reached while the equity and continuity condition is not.

The governing body directs route-level enquiry and weekly follow-up, and the district authority is asked to decide on transport. It does not change the priority to “successful enrolment” or close the plan. The result illustrates why a target package requires a distributional safeguard and a later participation measure.

250

Case C calculation and decision record

Table 14. Transition case: cohort reconciliation and continuity
MeasureInitial administrative figureVerified baselineReview cohortInterpretation
expected or eligible cohort312 expected names301 verified eligible305 verified eligiblecohort rules and date govern denominator
enrolled by census date286 records279 learners291 learnersduplicates and other placements reconciled
timely-transition rate91.7% reported92.7% verified95.4% verifiedtarget attained at aggregate level
late entrantsnot separated12 learners7 learnersreport separately from timely entry
non-enrollednot resolved6 learners5 learnersindividual follow-up continues
unresolved destinationincluded ambiguously4 learners2 learnersnot presumed enrolled or non-enrolled
first-term continuitynot measuredbaseline to be established84% distant community; 96% othersequity condition not attained
material-support timingno recordeligibility defined9 supports delivered laterevise authorisation and delivery sequence
feeder-list completenessvariablereconciliation completed after census7 of 8 complete before entryescalate one dependency
plan statusapparent successdefensible baselinepartially attained, corrective action requiredretain priority

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

251

Case C evaluative boundary

The improved timely-transition rate may reflect better reconciliation as well as better support. The evaluation should therefore show both the administrative and verified series and avoid treating the full difference as programme effect. Case records can establish whether particular cost or information barriers were resolved for identified learners, but confidentiality restricts public detail.

The continuity disparity is a material finding even though the aggregate transition target was attained. The next plan version should preserve the cohort definition, retain route-level evidence under protection and align the transport decision with the continuity milestone.

252

Case D: accessible participation for learners with disabilities

A school reports that 26 learners are recorded as having disabilities and that 24 are enrolled in regular classes. The figure cannot serve as an access baseline because the identification method, eligible population and participation conditions are unspecified. It also risks reducing inclusion to physical placement.

The school begins with barrier evidence rather than a prevalence estimate. A protected review identifies 31 learners who require one or more adjustments to access communication, facilities, assessment or classroom participation. The number is explicitly an operational count of identified need, not an estimate of all disability. Records show that 19 have a documented adjustment decision, 14 receive the adjustment consistently and eight participate in all scheduled instructional periods without an identified access barrier.

The planning question is whether the school can identify and remove avoidable barriers through a timely, individual and reviewable process. The result chain includes an accessible request route, responsible decision-maker, consultation with the learner and family where appropriate, documented adjustment, delivery verification and review of effectiveness. Construction work is only one possible action.

The first milestone requires an accessible request and referral route, a register under controlled access and an acknowledgement within five instructional days. The second requires every current case to have a reasoned decision, responsible implementer and review date. The third tests consistent delivery through learner evidence, classroom record and a sample of observation. Privacy protection is part of each milestone.

Targets concern process and participation: at least 90 per cent of complete requests decided within 20 instructional days; every urgent safety or communication need given an interim measure within two days; consistent delivery for at least 27 of an expected 31 current cases; and a reduction in access-related missed instructional periods, reported as counts and rate. No learner is required to disclose a diagnosis publicly or undergo an unnecessary assessment to enter the process.

At the first review, 29 current cases have reasoned decisions and 25 show consistent delivery. Two delayed cases require specialist input, but the school has not documented interim measures. Aggregate attendance among identified learners improves, yet confidential interviews report that one accessible room is routinely locked and that two learners avoid a support route because it requires public disclosure at the office.

The status is off track for accessible delivery. Immediate action changes access to the room, creates a confidential request route and records interim communication support. The school does not classify the plan as successful on the basis of decisions issued or average attendance.

253

Case D calculation and decision record

Table 15. Accessible participation case: process and outcome controls
ControlBaselineFirst reviewRequired judgement
identified operational need31 learners33 learnersnot a population prevalence estimate
documented decision19 of 3129 of 33progress in process, not yet delivery
consistent adjustment delivery14 of 3125 of 33below target-equivalent condition
full scheduled participation without recorded access barrier8 of 3119 of 33corroborate with learner evidence
complete request decided within 20 daysno stable record18 of 22 complete requestsreport denominator and delayed cases
urgent interim measureno rule3 of 5 urgent cases documentedimmediate correction required
accessible roomnominally availableaccess restricted by locked doorfacility existence is not availability
confidential request routeabsentdesigned after reviewverify actual use and safety
public reportingaggregate placement countprotected process and participation summaryavoid diagnosis disclosure
statusunreliable baselineoff track for deliverycorrect access and retain review

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

254

Case D evaluative boundary

The plan can support a claim that identification and decision processes became more complete, but it cannot yet support a claim of effective inclusion for all identified learners. The locked room and unsafe request route show why policy existence and placement counts are inadequate proxies for participation.

Evaluation should use protected case-level evidence to examine timeliness and delivery while publishing only sufficiently aggregated results. The increase from 31 to 33 identified learners is not deterioration; it may reflect improved access to the process. The interpretation depends on the measure's purpose.

255

Case E: school safety and protective reporting

A lower-secondary school records 18 “disciplinary incidents” in the previous term and proposes a target of fewer than ten. The record combines peer violence, property damage, lateness and dress-code matters. It excludes confidential welfare reports and provides no exposure period. Reducing the count could reflect safer conditions, non-reporting or a changed classification.

The school separates event categories and establishes a protected incident definition. It uses three complementary baselines: 27 substantiated or credible safety events during 22,480 learner-days; 74 per cent of sampled learners able to identify a trusted reporting route; and a median of six instructional days from report to documented protective response. Serious events are examined individually and are not diluted into a rate.

Learner discussions indicate that reporting is least accessible in the boarding area and that some learners expect retaliation. Staff records show uncertainty about immediate protective action and referral responsibility. The improvement problem is therefore unsafe exposure combined with weak reporting and response, not a high number of recorded incidents.

Actions include a confidential reporting route, staff response protocol, learner information, supervision changes in identified locations and weekly safeguarding review. An early increase in reports is anticipated and will not automatically be judged deterioration. The first milestone concerns awareness and safe access; the second concerns response time and completion; the outcome concerns repeated exposure and learner-reported safety.

The plan uses no simple incident-reduction target during the first term. It requires every serious report to receive immediate risk assessment, at least 90 per cent of all accepted reports to have a documented initial response within two instructional days and improvement in trusted-route knowledge from 74 to at least 90 per cent of the comparable sample. A later safety target will be considered after reporting stabilises.

At review, reports rise from 27 to 39 comparable events, trusted-route knowledge rises to 88 per cent and median response time falls to two days. Eight reports concern events in the previously under-reported boarding area. The review concludes that reporting access and response probably improved; it does not infer that actual exposure increased in the same proportion or that the school became less safe.

Two repeated-event patterns require additional protection and supervision. The public report states the reporting increase with its interpretation, response improvement and unresolved risk. It does not disclose locations or details that could identify affected learners.

256

Case E calculation and decision record

Table 16. Safety case: interpreting reporting and response
MeasureBaselineReviewInterpretation
comparable recorded safety events2739reporting access changed; count alone is ambiguous
learner-days22,48022,910exposure denominator retained
trusted-route knowledge74% of 196 sampled learners88% of 201 sampled learnersimprovement, short of 90% condition
median initial-response time6 instructional days2 instructional daysprocess improved
serious reports receiving immediate risk assessment5 of 8 documented12 of 12 documentedrequired protective condition met
boarding-area reports2 recorded8 recordedconsistent with improved reporting and unresolved exposure
repeated-event patternsnot analysed2 identified patternstargeted prevention required
public interpretationincident count onlycount, access, response and limitationsfair account without unsafe detail

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

257

Case E evaluative boundary

The case illustrates an indicator that may initially move in an apparently adverse direction when the underlying system improves. The contribution claim should concern reporting access and response because the evidence and sequence support those mechanisms. A claim of reduced violence would require stable reporting, credible exposure evidence and a longer period.

The school should retain a no-tolerance decision rule for serious harm while allowing statistical uncertainty in aggregate trends. Protection does not depend on proving a population-level change.

258

Lessons across the applied cases

The cases share a set of controls but do not share a uniform diagnosis. Attendance required reconstruction of missing remote records; reading required assessment moderation and practice evidence; transition required cohort reconciliation and a continuity safeguard; accessibility required process and delivery evidence under confidentiality; safety required interpretation of increased reporting.

In every case, the administrative figure was insufficient until its population, period, definition and coverage were examined. Each plan also required at least one intermediate condition that could be acted on before the final outcome. These common disciplines support reliability without erasing the distinct educational mechanism.

259

Table 17: cross-case reliability comparison

Table 17. Cross-case reliability comparison
CasePrincipal baseline defectDecisive milestoneMain distortion riskPublic-interest safeguard
rural attendancemissing records concentrated remotelycomplete timely registers and functioning transportfavourable aggregate hides settlementroute-level review and interim support
early readingincomplete assessment and scoring inconsistencyobserved instructional sequence with moderationtest rehearsal and selected learnerscurriculum breadth and equivalent access
transitionnumerator and denominator not reconciledcomplete feeder lists and barrier responseenrolment count omits continuitycohort tracking and disparity condition
accessibilityplacement used as proxy for participationreasoned adjustment delivered and revieweddisclosure and policy-as-deliveryprotected case evidence and accessible route
safetyunlike incidents combined and reporting unstabletrusted route and timely protective responsefewer reports presented as safer schoolinterpret reporting access and serious events

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

260

Case conclusion

Applied planning is reliable when the measurement and decision design reflect the actual barrier. The same institutional discipline—clear definition, verified baseline, result-chain logic, timed milestone, distributional check and reasoned correction—produces different evidence arrangements because the educational questions differ.

261

Case F: continuity of teaching in a high-turnover school

A school reports a pupil–teacher ratio of 34:1 and concludes that staffing is adequate. The ratio divides total enrolment by approved posts, including two vacant posts, one teacher assigned to administration and three teachers absent for extended periods. It says little about whether each class receives instruction in the required subjects and periods.

The school reconstructs the baseline from the timetable, duty record and class register. During a four-week reference period, 1,080 class-periods were scheduled. Of these, 914 received instruction from the assigned teacher, 71 received supervised replacement instruction, 53 were combined with another class and 42 received no substantive instruction. Coverage differs sharply: lower-secondary mathematics loses 18 per cent of scheduled periods, while primary classes lose four per cent.

Staff interviews and assignment records identify vacancy delay, late notice of absence and a timetable that depends on one mathematics teacher moving between sites. The priority is continuous access to planned instruction in affected subjects and sites. It is not framed as individual teacher blame, and confidential health or employment information remains outside the public plan.

The result chain begins with accurate deployment data, a lawful replacement procedure and a revised timetable. Activities include weekly reconciliation of scheduled and delivered periods, advance cover plans and subject-support arrangements. Outputs are filled assignments and prepared replacement lessons. The intermediate result is reduced loss and inappropriate class combination; the learner-level result is continuity of curriculum exposure.

The six-week milestone requires every vacancy and extended absence to have an authorised disposition and every affected class to have a documented instructional arrangement. A second milestone requires at least 97 per cent of scheduled periods to receive assigned or substantively equivalent replacement instruction, with separate reporting by subject and site. General supervision does not count as equivalent instruction.

At review, 1,112 periods are scheduled; 1,031 receive assigned instruction, 48 receive equivalent replacement, 21 are combined and 12 are lost. Substantive coverage is 97.0 per cent. Mathematics coverage rises, but one remote site remains at 91 per cent because travel time makes the revised timetable unworkable. The aggregate milestone is reached at its boundary while the site safeguard is not.

The corrective decision requests a deployment change from the responsible authority, introduces a temporary block schedule and monitors curriculum content delivered. The school does not describe the approved post count or aggregate coverage alone as resolution.

262

Case F calculation and decision record

Table 18. Teaching-continuity case: scheduled and delivered periods
Period statusFour-week baselineReview periodTreatment in substantive coverage
scheduled class-periods1,0801,112denominator
assigned teacher delivered9141,031included
equivalent replacement instruction7148included after content verification
supervised without planned instruction0 separately recorded9 of combined/lost periodsexcluded
class combined with reduced programme5321excluded unless equivalence demonstrated
no substantive instruction4212excluded
substantive coverage985 of 1,080, or 91.2%1,079 of 1,112, or 97.0%report with subject and site distribution
remote-site coverage84.5%91.0%corrective deployment decision remains open

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

263

Case F evaluative boundary

The improvement is consistent with better notice, cover planning and vacancy disposition, but the period is short and scheduled content quality is only partly verified. The evaluation can conclude that loss of scheduled instructional periods declined; it cannot yet conclude that learning improved.

The staffing ratio remains useful for broad resource description but is not an outcome measure for continuity. Future review should connect curriculum exposure and learner work without converting individual personnel records into public performance claims.

264

Case G: textbook availability and classroom use

A school inventory shows 620 science textbooks for 588 learners and reports a ratio better than one book per learner. Physical inspection finds that 86 books are obsolete editions, 47 are damaged beyond ordinary use and 132 are stored centrally without a borrowing record. The inventory also combines books for three different grades.

The baseline is established by grade, subject, edition, usable condition, location and access rule. In grade six, 164 learners have 91 usable current books available during lessons and 38 available for home loan. Observation across twelve lessons finds that books are substantively used in five; teachers report that uneven supply makes lesson planning difficult. Learners in two classes cannot take books home.

The plan distinguishes availability, accessibility and instructional use. Inputs are correctly specified books, a transparent allocation rule and secure but workable storage. Activities include condition verification, distribution, teacher planning and a loan system. The immediate output is a traceable usable book at the point of need. The practice result is regular use for appropriate reading, investigation and reference, while the learner result concerns access to intended science content.

The first milestone requires a verified grade-level inventory and allocation record, not purchase. The second requires every class to have at least one usable current book for every two learners during relevant lessons and a home-access arrangement for learners without another copy. The third requires sampled lesson and learner-work evidence showing use aligned with curriculum rather than mere presence.

Procurement supplies 96 current books, and repair restores 18. The classroom availability condition is reached. However, home access remains unequal because the loan rule requires a cash deposit. The rule was not identified in the action design and disproportionately affects learners in the two classes previously lacking home access.

The school removes the deposit, introduces a signed non-financial loan record and establishes a repair process. It reports the delay and does not claim universal access from the classroom ratio. Later evaluation will examine whether use is sustained and whether learner work shows broader engagement with science texts.

265

Case G calculation and decision record

Table 19. Textbook case: stock, access and use
MeasureInitial recordVerified baselineFirst reviewPlanning meaning
total recorded science books620620 located or reconciled734 after supply and repair entriesnot a learner-access measure
obsolete editionnot identified8686 segregatedexcluded from current usable stock
unusable conditionnot identified4729 after 18 repairsexcluded until verified usable
grade-six current usable books in lessonsratio not available91 for 164 learners187 for 166 learnersclassroom availability achieved
grade-six home-loan books3838 under deposit rule102 under revised ruleaccess depends on rule and demand
sampled lessons using books substantivelynot recorded5 of 1214 of 18practice evidence, not learning outcome
classes with unequal home accessnot visible2 of 50 under revised rule, use to be verifiedequity safeguard remains monitored

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

266

Case G evaluative boundary

The case supports a finding that usable supply, allocation and instructional use improved. It does not establish improved science achievement, and the increase in total inventory should not be presented as the principal result. The unanticipated effect of the deposit rule also demonstrates why access conditions require learner and family evidence.

Future procurement should use the verified deficit by grade and purpose. Obsolete and unusable stock should remain in the asset record with clear status rather than being counted as available or removed without authorised disposal.

267

Case H: language of instruction and early participation

A multilingual school finds that 38 per cent of first-grade learners are classified as “not ready” after the first term. The judgement is based on an oral classroom task administered only in the official school language. Home-language information is absent, and teachers apply different criteria. The figure cannot distinguish unfamiliarity with the language of assessment from the concepts being assessed.

A baseline enquiry records languages used at home through family communication, observes classroom participation and administers a moderated set of tasks that separates understanding of concepts from expression in the school language. Of 126 learners, 122 have complete evidence. Forty-seven show the concept when an accessible linguistic route is available; 29 of these do not yet express it consistently in the school language. Fifteen require further instructional review across both routes.

The plan aims to secure access to early instruction while developing competence in the school language. It does not establish permanent tracks or reduce curriculum expectations. Actions include teacher planning around language demands, visual and oral supports, use of familiar language where feasible, family information and moderated observation of progression.

A readiness milestone requires teachers in all four classes to identify the language demand of planned tasks and provide at least two appropriate routes to participation. A practice milestone requires moderated observation and learner work to show that learners can demonstrate understanding without an avoidable language barrier. A progression measure separately records increasing comprehension and expression in the school language.

At the second review, participation in sampled classroom exchanges rises from 61 to 78 per cent of observed opportunities among the 47 learners initially affected by assessment language. Moderation finds stronger conceptual evidence, but one class uses translated answers as a substitute for planned instruction in the school language. The plan is revised to strengthen purposeful transition between language supports and target expression.

The public account avoids labelling home languages as deficits. It reports coverage, method and the distinct findings for conceptual access and school-language development. Individual language records are protected and are not used to restrict admission or placement.

268

Case H calculation and decision record

Table 20. Multilingual participation case: separated measures
Evidence fieldBaselineReviewInterpretation
enrolled grade-one learners126128period population stated
learners with complete baseline evidence122124coverage retained
concept shown through accessible route but not consistently in school language2918 in comparable follow-updistinct from concept not yet shown
learners requiring review across routes1512instructional enquiry continues
participation opportunities taken among initially affected group61% of sampled opportunities78%observation sample and definition disclosed
classes meeting planned-language-demand milestone0 of 4 documented3 of 4targeted correction in one class
school-language progressionno common criterionmoderated evidence availablereport separately from access measure
placement consequenceinformal “not ready” labelno restrictive placement from language alonerights safeguard

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

269

Case H evaluative boundary

The evidence suggests that avoidable language demands suppressed some initial demonstrations of understanding and that planned supports increased participation. It does not establish the superiority of one instructional approach to language, and it cannot be generalised beyond the school's linguistic and staffing conditions.

Evaluation should examine progression across both conceptual learning and school-language competence. Collapsing them into a single score would reproduce the original diagnostic error and could direct support away from the actual need.

270

Case I: water, sanitation and instructional participation

A school reports that it has eight latrines and two water points for 642 learners. The count does not establish functionality, privacy, accessibility, water availability or distribution by school area. A joint inspection finds five latrines usable at the opening of the day, three with working internal locks, none accessible to a learner using a mobility aid and intermittent water at one point.

Attendance and welfare records show increased afternoon absence among adolescent girls during particular periods, but the record is incomplete and no causal conclusion is drawn. Confidential learner discussions identify privacy, water and distance from classrooms as material concerns. The school defines the priority as continuous access to safe, private and usable facilities supporting participation.

The baseline uses daily functionality checks over four weeks, response time for faults, water availability during instructional hours, accessible-route inspection and protected learner evidence. The input is authorised repair and maintenance capacity. Activities include repair, cleaning, supply monitoring and assignment of responsibility. The immediate result is functional availability; the participation result concerns reduced facility-related interruption or absence.

Milestones require at least seven of eight latrines functional throughout 95 per cent of sampled instructional days, privacy features working, an accessible interim facility within six weeks and a documented same-day response to serious faults. The plan does not wait for major construction before providing an interim accessible arrangement.

At review, seven latrines meet functional and privacy criteria on 18 of 20 sampled days, equivalent to 90 per cent rather than the 95 per cent condition. Water is available on 19 days. The interim accessible facility is delivered, but its route becomes obstructed during supply deliveries on three observed occasions. Learner evidence indicates improvement in privacy while afternoon absence shows no clear change.

The school classifies facility availability as at risk, corrects delivery routing and revises the maintenance roster. It reports no participation effect because the attendance period is short and the relationship remains uncertain.

271

Case I calculation and decision record

Table 21. Facility case: functionality and participation evidence
ConditionBaselineReviewDecision
nominal latrines88count retained but not treated as availability
usable at opening57 or 8 across sampled daysdaily record required
at least 7 functional with privacynot met18 of 20 sampled days, or 90%below 95% milestone
water during instructional hoursintermittent, no series19 of 20 sampled daysinvestigate one failure
accessible facility and routeabsentfacility present; route obstructed 3 timesimmediate operational correction
serious-fault responseno defined time6 of 7 same dayexamine delayed case
learner privacy evidencematerial concernsimproved, with residual concernscontinue protected enquiry
afternoon participationincomplete administrative signalno clear comparable changeno outcome claim

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

272

Case I evaluative boundary

The evaluation can determine whether functional, private and accessible provision improved and whether maintenance became more responsive. It should not infer an attendance effect from contemporaneous improvement without adequate comparison and coverage.

Facility measures must reflect use over time. A completed repair certificate or opening-day inspection cannot represent continuing availability. Accessibility includes the route and operating conditions, not only the physical specification of one facility.

273

Case J: strengthening school-level decision authority

A school is given responsibility for a small improvement grant and is expected to prepare a development plan. The first draft lists furniture, repairs, training and sports equipment with costs, but it does not identify the educational problems to be addressed or decisions that remain controlled by the district. Community representatives are asked to approve the list after supplier quotations have been obtained.

The school reopens the process. Baseline evidence identifies reading-material access, unsafe drainage near two classrooms and irregular lower-secondary mathematics coverage as material concerns. The grant can address reading materials and minor drainage work, but teacher deployment remains a district decision. The plan therefore separates school-authorised actions from the external staffing dependency and gives each a distinct evidence and escalation path.

School-based management may improve responsiveness where authority, information, capacity and accountability are aligned; decentralisation alone does not guarantee better educational results. The governing body receives the grant rules, conflict requirements, baseline evidence and options before deciding. Learner and parent evidence informs access and safety priorities. A member related to one potential supplier declares the interest and withdraws from that procurement decision.[REF-04]

Milestones concern decision quality as well as expenditure: approved priorities must cite baseline evidence; procurement must preserve specification and conflict records; receipt must be verified; and use must be examined. For the district dependency, the milestone is a documented staffing decision by a specified date, not submission of a request.

After four months, 94 per cent of the grant is committed and 71 per cent paid. Drainage work is complete and verified after rainfall. Reading materials are delivered, but a classroom-use sample shows that two grades have not incorporated them. The district acknowledges the deployment request but has not decided it. Expenditure progress is therefore not reported as overall plan completion.

The governing body directs professional planning for material use, retains payment subject to the applicable terms for an incomplete supply item and escalates the staffing decision with a quantified record of lost mathematics periods. The public report distinguishes commitments, payments, delivery, use and results.

274

Case J calculation and decision record

Table 22. School-level authority case: finance, delivery and decision
Plan fieldFour-month statusEvidence testGovernance response
grant allocation100% authorisedpurpose and period confirmedretain control record
commitments94% of allocationlawful orders and contractsnot reported as delivery
payments71% of allocationinvoice and authorisationreconcile with receipt
drainage workcompleted and paidinspection after rainfallclose action, retain maintenance check
reading materialsdelivered; one item incompletequantity, specification and locationapply supply terms and verify correction
classroom useevident in 2 of 4 intended gradeslesson and learner-work sampletargeted planning and renewed review
staffing requestacknowledged by districtno substantive decisionescalate with instructional-loss evidence
conflict managementone interest declaredwithdrawal recordedinclude in controlled procurement file
participationevidence gathered before reopened decisionresponse record issuedpublish reasons within privacy limits
overall statusmixed implementationresult level preservedno expenditure-based success claim

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

275

Case J evaluative boundary

The case can support findings about more transparent decision processes, verified drainage improvement and incomplete use of reading materials. The school cannot attribute a staffing result to its plan before the district acts, and it should not carry the dependency as a nominally completed advocacy activity.

The experience also shows that local authority must be matched by information and capability. Procurement compliance, participation and expenditure are necessary controls, but educational value must be demonstrated through access, use and the intended result.

276

Extended cross-case findings

Across the ten cases, reliability repeatedly depends on replacing a convenient administrative proxy with evidence closer to the educational condition. Approved posts become delivered instructional periods; book stock becomes usable access and use; an initial language judgement becomes separated evidence of concepts and language; facility counts become continuing functionality; expenditure becomes delivery and educational application.

This replacement should not produce uncontrolled data expansion. Each additional measure earns its place by correcting a specific inferential error and supporting a defined decision. Once the question is answered, redundant collection should cease.

277

Table 23: proxy-to-condition conversion

Table 23. Converting administrative proxies into decision evidence
Administrative proxyCondition requiring evidenceAdded specificationDecision protected
approved teacher postsscheduled instruction actually deliveredperiod, subject, site and equivalencedeployment and cover
books in inventorycurrent usable access and educational usegrade, condition, location and access ruleprocurement and allocation
readiness classificationconcept and language demands separately observedaccessible route, moderation and progressioninstruction without restrictive labelling
facility countfunctional, private and accessible availabilitydaily period, route and fault responserepair and participation support
percentage of grant spentauthorised delivery and use tied to resultcommitment, payment, receipt and practicefinancial and educational accountability
incident countsafe reporting, response and exposuredefinition, learner-days and reporting accessprotection without suppressing reports
enrolment countreconciled transition and continued participationeligible cohort, date and destinationtargeted transition support

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

278

Applied-case conclusion

School development planning is strongest when it preserves distinctions that administrative summaries tend to collapse. It identifies what a figure can establish, what it cannot establish and what decision follows. This discipline supports both improvement and an honest public account, particularly when results are mixed.

Part XIII

Institutional Priorities and Conclusions

279

The central finding

The reliability of a school development plan depends on the integrity of the chain between problem, baseline, intended result, action, milestone, evidence and decision. Weakness at any point can give an orderly document the appearance of control while leaving the educational problem unchanged.

Baselines and milestones are especially important because they discipline the beginning and middle of improvement. The baseline prevents an institution from selecting an unverified starting point. The milestone prevents it from waiting until the end to discover that a necessary condition was never established.

280

Improvement planning as institutional judgement

No instrument can substitute for educational judgement. The plan should help leaders, teachers, governing bodies and authorities ask better questions, preserve relevant evidence and record reasons. It should not reduce improvement to compliance with a universal sequence of forms.

Judgement becomes more accountable when definitions and assumptions are visible. It becomes more equitable when distribution and affected experience are examined. It becomes more useful when evidence is linked to an available decision.

281

Priority 1: define the educational condition

authority and identify, tractable, problem in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 281. Priority 1: define the educational condition to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Broad labels such as low quality, weak performance, insufficient commitment or poor management do not identify a tractable problem.

distribution and without, assigning, advance in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 281. Priority 1: define the educational condition to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should avoid attributing motive when the evidence concerns behaviour or access. A clear condition permits investigation of causes without assigning blame in advance.

282

Priority 2: test the administrative figure

coverage and changes, recording, practice in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 282. Priority 2: test the administrative figure to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The planning team should verify numerator, denominator, coverage, period, definition, source and material changes in recording practice.

feasibility and meaning, cannot, determined in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 282. Priority 2: test the administrative figure to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. An approximate but transparent baseline is preferable to a precise figure whose population or meaning cannot be determined.

283

Priority 3: retain the affected population

The eligible or affected population should remain visible from baseline through implementation and result reporting. Exclusion from an intervention, departure from school or non-completion of an assessment should not remove a learner silently from the denominator.

capacity and choosing, favourable, denominator in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 283. Priority 3: retain the affected population to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Each serves a different question. Their relationship should be documented rather than resolved by choosing the most favourable denominator.

284

Priority 4: disaggregate where decisions require it

continuity and become, indiscriminate, demand in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 284. Priority 4: disaggregate where decisions require it to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Selection should reflect the diagnosed issue and safe data capacity. It should not become an indiscriminate demand for small cells.

equity and preserve, decision, privacy in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 284. Priority 4: disaggregate where decisions require it to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Where numbers cannot be published safely, protected internal review and a qualitative public account may preserve both decision value and privacy.

285

Priority 5: record the baseline as a dossier

distribution and limitations, verification, approval in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 285. Priority 5: record the baseline as a dossier to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The controlled dossier should include the question, definition, eligible population, period, sources, calculation, coverage, missingness, distribution, limitations, verification and approval date.

timing and reconstructed, selectively, results in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 285. Priority 5: record the baseline as a dossier to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It also prevents the starting point from being reconstructed selectively after results are known.

286

Priority 6: make the result chain testable

feasibility and should, remain, distinct in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 286. Priority 6: make the result chain testable to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Inputs, activities, outputs, practice changes, intermediate results and outcomes should remain distinct.

uncertainty and conditions, success, depends in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 286. Priority 6: make the result chain testable to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A result chain containing only procurement and a final test score leaves the central mechanism unobserved. Conversely, a chain with numerous minor activities can obscure the few conditions on which success depends.

287

Priority 7: use milestones as decision points

capacity and result, external, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 287. Priority 7: use milestones as decision points to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They may concern readiness, reach, implementation quality, professional practice, intermediate learner result or an external decision.

comparability and depends, authority, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 287. Priority 7: use milestones as decision points to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. “Training completed” is weak if the required condition is competent use; “request submitted” is weak if progress depends on an authority's decision.

288

Priority 8: set targets with safeguards

equity and unequal, benefit, plausible in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 288. Priority 8: set targets with safeguards to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They should normally include coverage and distributional safeguards where exclusion or unequal benefit is plausible.

authority and explicit, stopping, required in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 288. Priority 8: set targets with safeguards to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Where these risks are material, a balancing indicator or explicit stopping rule is required.

289

Priority 9: connect actions to authority and resources

Every action should state what will be done, for whom, by whom, with what authority, during what period and with what resources. Teacher time, leadership attention, materials, facilities, finance and external decisions should be treated as real constraints.

coverage and budget, available, provision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 289. Priority 9: connect actions to authority and resources to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The plan should not represent an application, verbal assurance or budget line as available provision.

290

Priority 10: protect professional work

Improvement depends substantially on teacher knowledge, planning, practice and feedback. Professional participation should begin with diagnosis and continue through review. Training attendance should not be used as a proxy for changed instruction.

remedy and protect, substantive, professional in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 290. Priority 10: protect professional work to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Excessive initiatives, observation and data collection can weaken the instructional conditions they are intended to improve. Authorities should coordinate requirements and protect time for substantive professional work.

291

Priority 11: make participation consequential

comparability and should, enable, participation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 291. Priority 11: make participation consequential to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Information, language, format, safety and feedback arrangements should enable real participation.

continuity and consent, access, confidence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 291. Priority 11: make participation consequential to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Attendance at a meeting is not evidence of influence, and silence is not consent where access or confidence is weak.

292

Priority 12: align responsibility with control

authority and required, authority, information in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 292. Priority 12: align responsibility with control to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Supporting roles and escalation routes should also be clear. Responsibility should not be assigned to a person who lacks the required authority or information.

Where the decision belongs to a higher authority, the school should record the question, evidence, receiving body and expected decision date. The higher authority should in turn recognise the dependency as part of the improvement system, not as a local failure alone.

293

Priority 13: monitor for decisions

coverage and should, accompany, reported in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 293. Priority 13: monitor for decisions to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Frequency should reflect the speed and consequence of change. Coverage, missingness and altered definitions should accompany the reported value.

feasibility and underlying, values, explanation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 293. Priority 13: monitor for decisions to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Colour or summary status may assist review but should never replace the underlying values and explanation.

294

Priority 14: establish correction before implementation

remedy and against, selective, interpretation in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 294. Priority 14: establish correction before implementation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They should specify when to verify, support, redesign, escalate, suspend or terminate an action. This reduces delay and protects against selective interpretation.

capacity and remains, within, tolerance in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 294. Priority 14: establish correction before implementation to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A safety or rights concern may require immediate action even when the aggregate indicator remains within tolerance.

295

Priority 15: preserve version history

continuity and register, reason, authority in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 295. Priority 15: preserve version history to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Changes to definitions, targets, actions, resources or responsibilities should be entered in a controlled register with reason and authority.

Original values should remain available. A revised target or corrected baseline may be justified, but it should not overwrite the record that governed earlier decisions.

296

Priority 16: evaluate contribution honestly

distribution and proportionate, design, alternatives in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 296. Priority 16: evaluate contribution honestly to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Causal language should remain proportionate to design and alternatives.

Many schools will not have a formal counterfactual. They can nevertheless examine sequence, mechanism, implementation variation, prior trend and competing explanations. A well-bounded contribution claim is more useful than an unsupported assertion of impact.

297

Priority 17: treat uncertainty as decision information

feasibility and different, conclusions, different in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 297. Priority 17: treat uncertainty as decision information to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Missing data, unstable measures, small numbers and contextual change may affect different conclusions in different ways.

uncertainty and definitive, public, finding in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 297. Priority 17: treat uncertainty as decision information to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Provisional action and weak evidence should not be converted into a definitive public finding.

298

Priority 18: report unfavourable evidence

capacity and decisions, public, confidence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 298. Priority 18: report unfavourable evidence to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. They help institutions discontinue ineffective action, redirect resources and refine diagnosis. Reporting only favourable indicators weakens future decisions and public confidence.

comparability and measure, institutional, learning in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 298. Priority 18: report unfavourable evidence to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Apparent perfection is not a credible measure of institutional learning.

299

Priority 19: protect privacy and dignity

equity and combined, identification, possible in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 299. Priority 19: protect privacy and dignity to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It does not require unnecessary public disclosure. Access to protected records should be limited by function, and published small cells should be suppressed or combined where identification is possible.

authority and deficit, distort, diagnosis in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 299. Priority 19: protect privacy and dignity to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. A deficit label can distort diagnosis as well as cause harm.

300

Priority 20: publish a fair account

timing and dependent, another, authority in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 300. Priority 20: publish a fair account to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It should distinguish what is complete, delayed, uncertain and dependent on another authority.

Public communication should not be promotional selection. A concise account remains fair only if it preserves the material qualification necessary to understand the result.

301

A minimum institutional control set

Schools and authorities with limited capacity should first secure a small set of controls: one verified baseline dossier for each priority; a result chain with critical assumptions; a defined indicator register; dated milestones with decision rules; an action-resource register; and a review record with corrections and version history.

remedy and follow, demonstrated, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 301. A minimum institutional control set to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Reliability depends on definitions, responsibility and use, not on sophisticated software. Additional complexity should follow a demonstrated decision need.

302

Responsibilities of the school

The school should organise participation, preserve source evidence, define the priority, assign feasible action, monitor implementation and report fairly. It should communicate promptly when a result depends on authority or resources outside its control.

The school should also protect curriculum breadth, professional integrity, learner welfare and privacy while pursuing measurable improvement. These are not secondary constraints; they are part of educational quality.

303

Responsibilities of governing bodies

authority and responses, authorised, recorded in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 303. Responsibilities of governing bodies to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. During implementation they should examine exceptions and ensure that management responses are authorised and recorded.

Oversight should focus on educational and public-interest questions rather than the volume of completed forms. Members require accessible evidence and enough time to consider it.

304

Responsibilities of education authorities

Authorities should clarify decision rights, resource conditions, reporting definitions and escalation routes. They should respond to dependencies within stated periods and avoid requiring schools to promise results that depend on unresolved system action.

feasibility and encourage, exclusion, distortion in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 304. Responsibilities of education authorities to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Common definitions can aid learning and allocation; inflexible targets or rankings can encourage exclusion and distortion.

305

Support and capacity development

Capacity development should combine practical work on the school's own evidence with technical guidance, moderated review and follow-up. One-off training on plan completion is unlikely to establish reliable diagnosis or evaluation.

Support should be differentiated. A school with weak registers needs source-record and coverage controls; a school with stable data may need stronger causal analysis or evaluation. Assistance should reduce avoidable burden and strengthen institutional routines.

306

Proportionate external review

continuity and novelty, action, consequence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 306. Proportionate external review to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Review intensity should reflect the scale of resources, vulnerability of the population, novelty of action and consequence of error.

The reviewer should identify material weaknesses and the correction required, not reward stylistic uniformity. Local variation is compatible with a common standard of evidence.

307

Comparative use of school-plan evidence

Aggregated school-plan evidence can inform system policy when definitions and coverage are sufficiently comparable. It may reveal recurring infrastructure failures, staffing dependencies, transition barriers or measurement weaknesses. Aggregation should preserve uncertainty and avoid treating locally selected priorities as prevalence estimates for the whole system.

Comparative use should not convert an improvement instrument into a simplistic ranking. Context, population and starting conditions materially affect results and feasible pace.

308

Annual planning cycles and longer improvement horizons

feasibility and outcome, reasonably, observable in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 308. Annual planning cycles and longer improvement horizons to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. The plan should identify which results are expected within the year and which require continued observation. Milestones allow meaningful accountability before the final outcome is reasonably observable.

uncertainty and participation, effects, require in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 308. Annual planning cycles and longer improvement horizons to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Implementation quality, reach and intermediate results can be reviewed during the current cycle even when durable learning or participation effects require more time.

309

Renewal of the baseline

capacity and evidence, longer, decision in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 309. Renewal of the baseline to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Renewal is required when definitions, population, programme or conditions change materially, or when the original evidence is no longer fit for the next decision.

Renewal should preserve the earlier series and explain the break. It should not be scheduled merely to replace an inconvenient starting value.

310

When a priority may be closed

equity and identify, residual, evidence in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 310. When a priority may be closed to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Closure should identify residual risks and the evidence date.

authority and transferred, allowed, disappear in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 310. When a priority may be closed to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Unresolved system dependencies should be formally transferred, not allowed to disappear.

311

When a plan should be redesigned

timing and longer, credible, result in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 311. When a plan should be redesigned to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. Repeated minor amendment should not preserve a design that no longer has a credible path to result.

The redesign record should retain what was learned and distinguish failure of implementation from failure of theory. This evidence can prevent recurrence in later plans.

312

Research and knowledge needs

Further work is needed on practical reliability tests for small-school data, methods for examining distribution without unsafe disclosure, and proportionate evaluation designs for ordinary school settings. Comparative research should examine how authority, information and support interact under different forms of school-level management.

Evidence is also needed on the burden and use of school planning requirements. A reporting system that produces extensive documentation but few corrective decisions may weaken rather than strengthen quality improvement.

313

Table 24: institutional assurance priorities

Table 24. Institutional assurance priorities for school development planning
PrioritySchool evidenceGoverning or authority testFailure requiring action
problem definitionbounded educational conditionrelevance and affected populationvague or blame-based label
baselinereproducible dossierdefinition, coverage and distributionproxy or unstable denominator
result chainmechanism and assumptionscritical link supportedactivity presented as outcome
milestonedated observable conditionevidence and decision rulecalendar event without result
targetbaseline-linked result and safeguardfeasibility, equity and distortionincentive to exclude or narrow
actionoperation, owner and authoritycapability and dependencyresponsibility without control
resourcetime, finance, material and statusauthorisation and sufficiencyproposal reported as available
participationaccessible evidence and responsereach, safety and influencesymbolic consultation
monitoringdecision-linked current evidencecompleteness and correctioncollection without use
evaluationfindings, uncertainty and contributionclaim proportionate to designcausal assertion without basis
publicationfair protected accountcompleteness and privacypromotion or unsafe disclosure
closureverified stable conditionresidual risk and routine ownershipexpiry treated as success

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

314

Final conclusions

School development plans can strengthen educational quality when they function as public evidence agreements rather than administrative promises. Their credibility begins with a baseline that can be reproduced and understood. It is sustained by milestones that expose whether essential conditions are being established while correction remains possible.

The framework developed in this report places educational results, equity and institutional responsibility at the centre. It asks schools to distinguish stock from access, provision from use, attendance from continuity, placement from participation, reporting from safety and expenditure from benefit. These distinctions are necessary because public decisions can otherwise be made on measures that are accurate in calculation but inadequate in meaning.

timing and course, publish, account in Improving the Reliability of School Development Plans through Baselines and Milestones require ### 314. Final conclusions to connect evidence with delivery, unequal effect and correction. It requires that uncertainty, dependency and limitation be recorded honestly; that decisions be proportionate to evidence and risk; and that affected persons have a safe and consequential voice. Improvement is demonstrated not by uninterrupted claims of success but by the capacity to identify failure, correct course and publish a fair account.

For schools, governing bodies and education authorities, the immediate task is practical: establish defensible baselines, select a small number of critical milestones, connect every indicator to a decision and preserve the evidence needed to judge results. When these disciplines are maintained, the development plan becomes a usable instrument of educational stewardship and public accountability.

Part XIV

A Phased Route to Institutional Use

315

Purpose of phased introduction

The framework should be introduced in a sequence that protects current planning obligations while improving evidence quality. Requiring every school to adopt a large instrument at once may produce nominal completion, copied definitions and reporting burden without better decisions. A phased route establishes the essential controls first and adds complexity only where it serves a demonstrated need.

Phasing should not defer action on urgent safety, exclusion or rights concerns. Those matters require immediate response under applicable duties, while the planning system is strengthened around them.

316

Phase 1: establish authority and custody

The school should first identify the body that approves the plan, the officer who maintains the controlled version, the authority of action owners and the route for matters outside school control. Existing mandates and reporting duties should be mapped before new responsibilities are assigned.

This phase should produce a short authority schedule and document register. It prevents plans from assigning decisions to committees that can recommend but not authorise, or to staff who cannot secure the required resources.

317

Phase 2: select a limited number of priorities

Initial application should concentrate on a small number of material educational conditions supported by evidence. Selection should consider severity, affected population, equity, feasibility of action and the school's authority. A long list of weakly specified intentions is unlikely to be monitored or resourced.

Priorities that cannot yet be measured should not be excluded automatically. The first legitimate action may be to establish the evidence and protection needed for a later result decision.

318

Phase 3: construct and challenge baselines

For each selected priority, the planning team should complete a baseline dossier and submit it to internal challenge. The reviewer should attempt to reproduce the calculation, identify missing groups, examine source status and test whether the measure represents the condition described.

Disagreement should be resolved before a numerical target is approved. Where evidence remains incomplete, the plan should use a provisional baseline with a dated completion milestone and clear limits on claims.

319

Phase 4: agree the causal account

Teachers, leaders and affected groups should examine the proposed causes and action mechanism. The result chain should identify which assumptions are supported, which remain uncertain and what early evidence will test them.

This phase is particularly important when the original explanation assigns the problem to learner or family motivation. Operational, financial, language, safety and instructional barriers should be examined before a deficit account is accepted.

320

Phase 5: specify indicators and milestones

The school should select the minimum set of indicators needed to judge readiness, reach, implementation, practice and result. Each requires an agreed definition and owner. Critical milestones should then be dated and linked to evidence and a decision rule.

The set should be tested against a simulated review: if a value is late, incomplete or adverse, can participants determine what to do? An indicator that produces no decision should be removed or its purpose clarified.

321

Phase 6: test resources and dependencies

Before approval, the plan should test teacher time, leadership capacity, materials, facilities, finance, procurement periods and external authority. Resource status should be verified against authorised records. Dependencies should have receiving bodies and decision dates.

If a critical resource is merely proposed, the plan may use a conditional action or an alternative route. It should not approve an unconditional result promise based on uncertain means.

322

Phase 7: approve with explicit conditions

The governing body should receive the baseline dossiers, result chains, resource record, participation response and risks. Approval may be full, conditional or limited to an initial evidence phase. Conditions should state the required action, responsible party and date.

The approved version and conditions should be recorded together. A signature without a version identifier or conditions cannot reliably establish what was authorised.

323

Phase 8: conduct the first implementation review

The first review should occur early enough to correct readiness, reach and quality. It should not wait for a final learner outcome. Evidence should concentrate on whether responsible persons, resources, access arrangements and essential practice are in place.

The meeting should produce a decision record, not a revised narrative alone. Material exceptions should have owners, dates and escalation where required.

324

Phase 9: examine intermediate results

Once implementation is sufficiently established, the review should test the expected practice and intermediate learner conditions. It should compare groups and sites, assess missingness and examine adverse effects. Failure at this stage may warrant strengthened delivery, a changed mechanism or discontinuation.

The plan should resist adding activities simply because the final outcome has not yet moved. The decision should follow evidence about the broken link.

325

Phase 10: evaluate and renew

At the agreed point, the school should answer the evaluative question, state uncertainty and issue a management response. Successful elements may enter routine practice; uncertain findings may justify continued monitored use; ineffective or harmful elements should be discontinued or redesigned.

The next planning cycle should not copy the previous plan and update dates. It should use the evaluation to determine whether the condition, population, baseline and causal account still hold.

326

A 90-day establishment schedule

A school beginning this work may use a 90-day establishment period without treating it as a universal deadline. During days 1–15 it can confirm authority, priorities and participation arrangements. During days 16–40 it can reconstruct baselines and sources. During days 41–60 it can agree result chains, indicators and milestones. During days 61–75 it can test resources, risks and dependencies. During days 76–90 it can complete challenge, approval and publication.

Urgent corrective action continues throughout. The schedule concerns institutional control, not postponement of known educational need.

327

Table 25: phased establishment record

Table 25. Phased establishment record
PhaseRequired productApproval or challengeEvidence of completion
authoritydecision-right and custody scheduleschool leader and governing bodysigned controlled schedule
prioritybounded priority statementparticipation and relevance reviewreasoned selection record
baselinebaseline dossierindependent recalculation and coverage testverified value or qualified provisional record
mechanismresult chain and assumptionsteacher and affected-group challengedated causal account
measurementindicator definitions and milestonessimulated decision reviewapproved register
resourcesresource and dependency recordfinance, workload and authority testauthorised status evidence
approvalcontrolled plan versiongoverning decisiondated approval and conditions
early reviewreadiness and implementation evidencereview meetingcorrective-decision log
intermediate reviewpractice, reach and equity evidencegoverning or authority oversightstatus and response record
evaluationfindings and management responseproportional independent challengerelease-approved evaluation file

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

328

Differentiation by institutional capacity

Small schools may combine roles while preserving functional separation for material checks. A head teacher may maintain the register, while a governing member or peer leader independently verifies a sample. Large schools may distribute evidence ownership across departments but should retain one controlled definition and consolidated decision record.

Capacity should influence method and frequency, not the expectation of honest evidence. Where full measurement is infeasible, a carefully selected sample or qualitative enquiry with clear limits can support a decision.

329

Differentiation by risk

Higher-risk priorities require earlier review, stronger protection, more independent verification and clearer stopping rules. Relevant risks include serious safety concerns, exclusion from education, vulnerable populations, substantial public expenditure, novel intervention and irreversible consequence.

Low-risk routine improvement may use lighter controls. Proportionality allows attention to be concentrated without abandoning source integrity or fair reporting.

330

Maintaining continuity during staff change

The plan should be usable by a successor who did not participate in its design. Definitions, calculations, decisions, contacts, resource status and outstanding risks should therefore be held in controlled records rather than private notes.

A handover should identify the current plan version, next milestone, overdue action, data closure date and external dependencies. Transfer of custody should be acknowledged. Continuity of record protects learners from institutional interruption.

331

Integrating existing records

Schools should use existing attendance, timetable, assessment, finance, asset and welfare records where they are fit for the question. Integration requires mapping each plan field to its source, definition and update cycle. It does not require a new copy of every record.

Where existing data lack coverage or use an unsuitable definition, the limitation should be corrected at source where practical. Parallel collections should be temporary and governed by a retirement decision.

332

Preventing documentation inflation

Every form, field and meeting should be tested against a decision. Repeated narrative summaries, duplicate signatures and measures with no owner should be removed. Technical detail belongs in controlled annexes where it supports reproducibility; the main plan should retain what decision-makers and the public need to understand.

Reduction should be recorded so that a discontinued field is not mistaken for missing evidence. The reason may be duplication, low reliability or absence of decision use.

333

Quality review after one cycle

After the first full cycle, the institution should review the planning system itself. It should ask which baselines could be reproduced, which milestones prompted timely decisions, where reporting was burdensome, which groups were under-represented and whether public accounts were fair.

The review should result in specific system improvements. It should not merely add further requirements in response to every weakness.

334

Conditions for responsible scale-up

Wider use across schools should follow evidence that definitions are understood, core records are feasible, review produces corrective decisions and burden is proportionate. Initial implementation should include schools with different sizes, settings and data capacity.

Scale-up should preserve the difference between common controls and local educational priorities. A central framework may specify baseline integrity and disclosure, while schools select contextually relevant indicators and actions.

335

Final implementation judgement

The proposed route is deliberately institutional rather than technological. Its first requirements are authority, definition, evidence, participation and decision. These can be strengthened with modest tools and existing records.

Implementation should be judged by the quality and timeliness of educational decisions, the visibility of inequity and the integrity of public reporting. The number of completed plans or populated fields is an insufficient measure of success.

336

Relationship to education for all

Reliable school planning contributes to the commitments expressed in the Dakar Framework by translating access, equity and quality objectives into institution-level evidence and action. It also reflects the emphasis placed on educational quality, learner characteristics, teaching and learning, outcomes and context in the 2005 global monitoring analysis.[REF-01] [REF-02]

The relationship should remain substantive. Reference to a global objective does not establish local progress; the school must still define its affected population, baseline and result. Local evidence, in turn, should be interpreted within the wider public obligation to include learners whose participation is weakest.

337

Literacy and foundational learning

The global attention to literacy in the 2006 monitoring cycle reinforces the need to distinguish access to schooling from acquisition and use of foundational capabilities. A school plan addressing literacy should examine instructional opportunity, language, materials, practice, assessment access and continuity rather than rely on one terminal score.[REF-03]

Adult and community literacy may also affect communication with families. Planning information should therefore be available through oral and accessible routes where written forms would restrict participation. This is a matter of evidence quality as well as inclusion.

338

Results-based management and its limits

Results-based monitoring provides useful disciplines: agree intended results, select indicators, establish baselines, monitor progress and use findings. In education, these disciplines must be applied with attention to curriculum breadth, professional judgement, learner protection and the time required for learning.[REF-07] [REF-09]

The framework in this report therefore rejects a narrow equation of measured target attainment with quality. Results information becomes responsible when its definition, distribution, uncertainty and unintended effects are part of the decision.

339

Closing statement

A baseline is an institutional claim about present conditions. A milestone is an institutional commitment to examine whether essential change has occurred by a date when response remains possible. Both should be capable of challenge and correction.

When schools and authorities preserve that discipline, development planning can unite local knowledge with public accountability. It can show not only what an institution intends to do, but why the action is justified, who is reached, what evidence will alter course and how the resulting judgement can be trusted.

340

Standard of reasonable confidence

The report does not propose that every planning uncertainty be resolved before an institution acts. Reasonable confidence is achieved when the evidence is fit for the immediate decision, material limitations are visible, the action is proportionate, and a review point permits correction. A school may introduce an interim safety measure on credible case evidence without waiting for a prevalence study; it should not, however, present that intervention as proof of a population-wide outcome.

This standard links assurance to consequence. Decisions affecting exclusion, serious safety, protected information or substantial expenditure require stronger verification and independent challenge. Routine low-risk adjustments may rely on lighter records, provided responsibility and result remain clear. The evidence threshold can therefore vary without the meaning of evidence becoming optional.

Reasonable confidence also requires institutional candour. A milestone classified as not assessable because records are incomplete should prompt recovery or a qualified decision. It should not be converted into progress through an activity narrative. Equally, a missed target should not invalidate credible improvement below the target; the report should state both the observed benefit and the unfulfilled condition.

The governing test is whether a competent reviewer can follow the evidence from source to judgement, understand the uncertainty and determine why the authorised response served learners and the public interest. That test is sufficiently demanding for accountability while remaining usable in schools with differing resources and settings.

341

Institutional value of a reliable record

A reliable record serves decisions beyond the immediate plan year. It enables a governing body to distinguish a recurring barrier from a temporary exception, allows a successor to understand why an action was chosen and helps an authority identify where a school lacks the means to discharge an assigned responsibility. It also protects the integrity of later evaluation by preserving what was known and authorised at the time.

The value is lost when records are produced only for submission and are not used locally. Institutions should therefore retain the evidence closest to the decision, remove duplicate summaries and ensure that review findings return to teachers, learners, families and responsible authorities in a suitable form. Information should move with responsibility: the person expected to act should receive the evidence and authority necessary to do so.

Over time, a series of controlled plans can show whether improvement is sustained, whether disparities recur and which dependencies remain unresolved. Comparison should retain definition changes and context. The purpose is cumulative institutional learning, not retrospective construction of an uninterrupted success narrative.

This longer view reinforces the central discipline of the report. Baselines establish an honest point of departure; milestones expose the state of the causal pathway; decisions record how the institution responded. Together they allow educational stewardship to be examined through evidence rather than assertion.

G

Data quality, disclosure and version protocol

The school maintains an inventory of source systems and records used in the plan, including owner, purpose, population, update frequency, retention, access and known definition changes. The inventory identifies the authoritative source where duplicate records exist.

Parallel spreadsheets or local lists are reconciled and retired when no longer necessary. Personal copies should not become the only evidence for a public decision.

Quality review considers relevance, accuracy, completeness, timeliness, consistency and accessibility to authorised users. A dataset may be accurate for its original administrative purpose yet not relevant to the result question.

Material limitations are recorded at indicator level. General statements that data quality is “adequate” do not replace evidence about coverage and definition.

Corrections retain original value, corrected value, reason, supporting source, person and date. Bulk correction states rule and affected records. Published corrections identify effect on any conclusion or target.

The audit trail should be proportionate but sufficient to reconstruct material changes. Undocumented overwriting is not permitted in controlled planning evidence.

Before publication, the responsible officer removes direct identifiers and examines whether small cells, rare characteristics, locations or narrative detail permit indirect identification. Suppression should not create a misleading total.

Where public disaggregation is unsafe, the report states that a protected analysis was completed and describes the material conclusion without exposing individuals.

Every released plan and report carries version, publication date and evidence cutoff. Late evidence enters a later version unless correction of a material error requires reissue. The change log distinguishes data correction from new-period update.

References and contextual claims also respect the evidence cutoff. Later knowledge cannot be inserted into a contemporaneous report without clearly changing its status and date.

Table 32. Data, disclosure and version release check
CheckEvidenceFailure conditionRequired correction
authoritative sourceinventory and ownercompeting unreconciled recordsreconcile and identify control source
completenessexpected and received recordsmissingness omittedqualify and recover where possible
correction trailold, new, reason and dateoverwrite without tracerestore and document
direct identificationdisclosure reviewname or identifier unnecessaryremove or restrict
indirect identificationcell and narrative testperson reasonably identifiablecombine, suppress or rewrite
versionidentifier and approvalundated replacementissue controlled version
evidence cutofflast included evidence datelater evidence inserted silentlyremove or reissue
public fairnessmaterial results and limitationsselective favourable accountrestore omitted qualification

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

Records should be retained for the period required by applicable law and institutional policy, considering complaint, audit, evaluation and learner protection needs. Retention should not exceed legitimate purpose without authority.

At disposal, controlled authorisation and secure method are recorded. Aggregated non-identifying evidence may be retained for trend analysis where definitions remain documented.

H

Publication, handover and release assurance

The public report should contain title, date, scope, priority, baseline, intended result, key actions, milestones, resources, progress or findings, equity implications, limitations and next decision. Technical annexes may provide calculation detail without interrupting the principal account.

Language should distinguish evidence, judgement and commitment. Promotional adjectives, unsupported superlatives and claims of certainty are removed.

Every table requires a descriptive title, complete header, units where needed and enough context to interpret denominators. Values in narrative and structured data must agree. Percentages should be reproducible from displayed counts unless confidentiality prevents publication, in which case the protected basis is retained.

Merged visual cells and formatting-dependent meaning should be avoided. Plain header rows and consistent columns support reliable rendering in different readers and export formats.

Citations should support the adjacent factual or normative claim. The release check confirms publication date, issuing body, title and source status as of the report cutoff. Drafts, recommendations, treaties and operational guidance are described according to their contemporaneous status.

Sources should not be cited for claims they do not establish. Technical protocols developed in this report are presented as analytical proposals, not as quotations from international instruments.

The handover pack includes the controlled plan, baseline dossiers, indicator dictionary, current milestone status, action-resource register, dependencies, risks, review minutes, evaluation files, publication versions and contact schedule. It identifies access restrictions and the next required decision.

The outgoing custodian and receiving custodian record the transfer date. Missing records are listed with recovery action; they are not silently presumed complete.

Table 33. Publication and release assurance
Assurance domainRelease evidencePass conditionCorrective action
temporal integritycutoff and source datesno future evidence or later statusremove, replace or redate report
claim-source alignmentadjacent citation reviewsource supports stated propositionnarrow claim or change source
numerical integrityindependent recalculationdisplayed and structured values agreecorrect all affected formats
table integrityheader, row and export comparisonreader and data export preserve meaningrepair structure and regenerate
institutional languageeditorial reviewrestrained, factual and public-interest registerrewrite unsupported or promotional text
privacydisclosure reviewno unnecessary identificationsuppress, aggregate or restrict
completenesssection and annex manifestno missing or orphaned componentrestore and rebuild
version controlidentifier, approval and hashreleased object is uniquely identifiableissue controlled replacement

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

Every authorised publication format should preserve the same headings, paragraphs, citations and tables in their approved order. Separate tabular files should contain the same columns, rows, labels and values as the corresponding published tables.

The release check compares table identifiers, titles, headers, row counts and cell values across formats. An unreferenced tabular file, missing table or altered value prevents release. Character encoding should preserve names and symbols consistently.

The final editorial review should preserve a restrained institutional register and distinguish observed evidence, interpretation, recommendation and authorised decision. Modal terms should reflect the source and the strength of the proposition. Descriptions of learners, families, staff and communities should be precise, respectful and relevant to the educational condition.

The reviewer also tests whether qualifications are placed beside the claim they limit, whether conclusions answer the defined questions and whether the document attributes authority accurately. Editorial refinement must not remove an unfavourable finding or evidence limitation.

Release is authorised only when temporal, evidentiary, numerical, privacy, structural and editorial checks pass. The decision records reviewer, date, version, evidence cutoff and controlled-document identifier. A failed domain returns the report for correction and renewed review.

After release, a material correction requires a new version and change notice. The earlier version remains controlled according to retention requirements so that decisions made from it can be understood.

I

Contemporaneous evidence and source-status map

This map records how the principal international sources available by 1 October 2006 inform the analytical framework. It does not treat every source as imposing the same legal or institutional obligation. Treaties, recommendations, monitoring reports, technical guidance and analytical publications retain their distinct status.

The map supports citation discipline. A source is used for the proposition it can support at the report date; it is not cited as general authority for a locally developed procedure.

The Dakar Framework provides the principal international policy context for education for all, including access, equity, quality and accountable action. Its objectives support the public-interest orientation of school improvement, but the baseline and milestone protocols in this report are analytical means proposed for institutional use rather than prescribed Dakar instruments.[REF-01]

The 2005 global monitoring report develops the quality imperative and examines learner characteristics, context, enabling inputs, teaching and learning, and outcomes. The 2006 report's focus on literacy reinforces attention to participation in meaningful learning and to populations insufficiently served by formal provision.[REF-02] [REF-03]

UNESCO's Open File on Inclusive Education and Guidelines for Inclusion provide contemporaneous guidance on identifying and addressing barriers within education systems and schools. They support the report's emphasis on participation, institutional responsibility and the examination of exclusionary conditions.[REF-05] [REF-06]

The Convention on the Rights of the Child establishes the relevant international rights framework concerning education, non-discrimination, the best interests of the child and regard for children's views. General Comment No. 13 provides authoritative interpretation of the right to education under the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, including availability, accessibility, acceptability and adaptability.[REF-12] [REF-13]

These sources support rights-oriented analysis. They do not supply numerical school targets or remove the need to apply the governing law and institutional duties in the relevant jurisdiction.

The school-based management booklet issued through the International Academy of Education and UNESCO's planning institute examines the relationship among decentralised authority, participation, resources and accountability. It supports the report's caution that local responsibility without information, capability or means may not improve outcomes.[REF-04]

The World Bank results-based monitoring guide and the UNDP evaluation handbook describe core disciplines for results, indicators, baselines, monitoring and use of findings. This report adapts those disciplines to educational conditions and adds safeguards for curriculum, participation, equity, protection and professional work.[REF-07] [REF-09]

The 2004 World Development Report examines accountability in public services and the relationships among citizens, policymakers and providers. It informs the treatment of school plans as public evidence agreements while remaining an analytical source rather than a school-level rulebook.[REF-08]

The UNESCO Institute for Statistics guide to household survey and census education data supports careful attention to definition, denominator, coverage, disaggregation and limits of inference. Although school administrative data differ from household data, the disciplines of population specification and missingness remain relevant.[REF-10]

The 1966 ILO/UNESCO Recommendation concerning the Status of Teachers supports meaningful professional participation and proper conditions for educational work. It is used in this report to frame consultation and workload, not to determine employment matters outside its scope.[REF-11]

The international implementation scheme for the Decade of Education for Sustainable Development supports a longer-term view of institutional learning, participation and integration of educational aims. It does not provide the indicator definitions used in this report.[REF-14]

Table 34. Contemporaneous source-status and use map
Source groupStatus at evidence cutoffUse in this reportBoundary on use
Dakar Frameworkinternational action frameworkpublic purpose, equity and quality contextnot a local numerical target schedule
global monitoring reportsindependent global monitoring and analysisquality, literacy and system-context evidencenot binding school procedure
inclusion guidanceinternational policy and implementation guidancebarrier, participation and institutional-response lensrequires local application
CRC and General Comment No. 13treaty framework and authoritative interpretive textrights, participation and education obligationsjurisdictional implementation remains relevant
school-based management analysispolicy-research synthesisauthority, participation and accountability conditionsno presumption that devolution improves results
results and evaluation handbookstechnical guidancebaseline, indicator, monitoring and use disciplineseducational safeguards added locally
World Development Report 2004international development analysispublic-service accountability contextnot a school governance mandate
UIS data guidestatistical guidancepopulation, denominator and missingness disciplinesource context differs from school registers
teacher recommendationinternational recommendationprofessional participation and conditionsnot an individual employment determination
sustainable-development schemeinternational implementation frameworklonger horizon and institutional learningno direct indicator prescription

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

Before release, each citation should be traced to the exact claim it supports. The reviewer confirms title, issuing body, publication date and status. Paraphrases should not acquire stronger modality than the source. Where this report proposes a protocol, the text should use analytical language and avoid implying that the procedure was prescribed by the cited institution.

The evidence cutoff remains controlling. A later edition, revised indicator or subsequent institutional position cannot be used to strengthen a report dated 1 October 2006.

J

Verification calculations and decision simulations

This appendix provides independent calculations for numerical examples used in the applied cases and tests the decisions that follow. Values are illustrative case data. The purpose is to demonstrate reproducibility and prevent rounding, denominator or status errors from entering the public account.

In Case A, 5,124 days present divided by 6,120 possible learner-days equals 0.8372549. Reported to one decimal percentage point, the baseline is 83.7 per cent. At review, 5,540 divided by 6,360 equals 0.8710692, reported as 87.1 per cent.

The change is 3.4 percentage points after rounding, not a four per cent attendance rate. Because eligible populations and periods differ, the report treats it as period-level change and retains counts, coverage and the remote-settlement result.

The initial administrative rate divides 286 by 312 and equals 91.6667 per cent, reported as 91.7 per cent. The verified baseline divides 279 by 301 and equals 92.6910 per cent, reported as 92.7 per cent. The difference arises partly from cohort reconciliation and cannot be presented as improvement.

At review, 291 divided by 305 equals 95.4098 per cent, reported as 95.4 per cent. This attains the aggregate timely-transition condition, but the continuity disparity prevents closure of the full priority.

At baseline in Case F, assigned and equivalent replacement periods total 914 plus 71, or 985. Dividing 985 by 1,080 gives 91.2037 per cent, reported as 91.2 per cent. At review, 1,031 plus 48 equals 1,079; 1,079 divided by 1,112 gives 97.0324 per cent, reported as 97.0 per cent.

The status remains qualified because the remote site's 91.0 per cent coverage fails the distributional safeguard. The calculation illustrates that an aggregate threshold and a site condition can produce different but compatible judgements.

Case I requires at least seven functional private facilities on 95 per cent of sampled instructional days. The condition is present on 18 of 20 days. Eighteen divided by 20 equals 0.90, or 90 per cent. It does not attain the milestone.

To attain 95 per cent in a 20-day period, the condition would need to be present on at least 19 days. The accessible route was obstructed on three observations and therefore also requires correction regardless of the facility-day percentage.

If a reading assessment shows 63 of 132 learners meeting a criterion but scorer moderation is unresolved, the value is provisional and status is not assessable for the outcome. Activity and practice milestones may still receive their own status. The institution should not combine them into a single green classification.

If safety reports increase while trusted-route knowledge and response time improve, the evidence supports improved reporting access and process. It does not by itself show increased or reduced underlying exposure. Serious individual events continue to trigger protection without waiting for trend inference.

Table 35. Independent calculation and decision check
Case measureComponentsUnrounded resultReported resultDecision control
attendance baseline5,124 / 6,1200.837254983.7%coverage and route disparity retained
attendance review5,540 / 6,3600.871069287.1%no sole-cause claim
initial transition administration286 / 3120.91666791.7%not comparable until reconciliation
verified transition baseline279 / 3010.92691092.7%cohort definition controls
transition review291 / 3050.95409895.4%continuity safeguard remains open
instructional coverage baseline(914 + 71) / 1,0800.91203791.2%equivalent instruction verified
instructional coverage review(1,031 + 48) / 1,1120.97032497.0%remote-site condition not met
facility availability18 / 200.90000090.0%95% milestone not attained

Source and methodological notes are stated immediately below the table in the authoritative Markdown text.

The calculation reviewer should record source table, formula, treatment of missing values, rounding rule, date and result. Any difference between the independently calculated value and the draft report is corrected in the narrative, published table and corresponding tabular file before release.

Verification also tests interpretation. A numerically correct rate can still support an incorrect claim if its coverage, comparison or result-chain level is misstated. The sign-off therefore confirms both arithmetic and the bounded decision meaning.

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